Match Info

Date: 21 April 2021, Wednesday


	AGMK		Shabab Al-Ahli

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.72	Watch
	4	3.8	1.75
	3.95	3.85	1.7
	4	3.6	1.77
	4.12	3.8	1.85
	4.2	3.6	1.8
	4.15	3.78	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.97)	3.72 ↓ (3.78)	1.77 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AGMK
22.9%

Draw
24.9%

Shabab Al-Ahli
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24.6%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

19.7%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shabab Al-Ahli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AGMK - Shabab Al Ahli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches AGMK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shabab Al-Ahli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Shabab Al-Ahli is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC AGMK
AFC Champions League
18.04.21	AGMK - Istiklol Dushanbe	2:3 ✺
15.04.21	Al-Hilal - AGMK	2:2 ✺
07.04.21	Al-Gharafa - AGMK	0:0 ✺
Uzbek League
02.04.21	AGMK - Navbahor Namangan	2:1 ✺
18.03.21	AGMK - Pakhtakor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTTWL
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
AFC Champions League
18.04.21	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Hilal	0:2 ✺
15.04.21	Istiklol Dushanbe - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:0 ✺
UAE League Cup
09.04.21	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr	1:0 penalties ✺
UAE Football League
02.04.21	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Fujairah	3:2 ✺
20.03.21	Al Dhafra - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWWW

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