Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Hisor Central Stadium (Hisor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
India	FanCode, FanCode
Russia	TV Start


	Istiklol Dushanbe		Goa

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.7
	1.87	3.59	3.8
	1.54	3.46	7.30	Watch
	1.91	3.57	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.57)	3.53 ↑ (3.38)	4.63 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Istiklol Dushanbe
52.7%

Draw
26.9%

Goa
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

27%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Istiklol Dushanbe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Istiklol Dushanbe's performance.

Goa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	12%	8%

Istiklol Dushanbe - Goa Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Istiklol will win (votes: 20 - 80%). Goa will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istiklol: 64.3% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Istiklol (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Goa (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Istiklol (3.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Istiklol (1.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Goa (1.88) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Istiklol (votes: 12 - 60%). Goa (votes: 6 - 30%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stosic N. (G) 55. Safarov M. 33. Okoro J. 4. Chobanov M. 5. Kurbanov S. 17. Pandzhshanbe E. 6. Dzhuraboev A. 10. Dzhalilov A. (C) 11. Rakhimov M. 8. Haghnazari S. 9. Soirov R.	55. Tiwari H. (G) 17. Singh B. 3. Jhingan S. (C) 4. Moreno P. 27. Sangwan A. 14. Chhetri A. 24. Timor D. 42. Fernandes B. 26. Herrera B. 71. Drazic D. 9. Siverio J.
Substitutes
77. Dehghani R. 63. Dzhalilov M. 28. Gafurov M. 3. Islomov T. 66. Kamolov R. 99. Khasanov M. (G) 43. Komolafe P. 21. Nasrullozoda R. 19. Nazarov A. 22. Safaralii M. (G) 70. Sulaymonov S. 95. Turkaj R.	41. Carvalho S. 45. Jackson B. (G) 35. Kharbudon R. 18. Lalrinzuala J. 44. Nemil M. 23. Patre H. 77. Rabeeh A K A. 13. Sharma L. (G) 21. Singh U. 15. Tavora S. 22. Vishwas P.
Coaches
Baturenko Y.	Marquez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Safarov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Soirov R. ⚽,
66', Haghnazari S. ↓, Dehghani R. ↑,
67', Singh B. ↓, Singh U. ↑,
67', Fernandes B. ↓, Rabeeh A K A. ↑,
69', Singh U. 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Dehghani R. ⚽, Rakhimov M. (A),
75', Dehghani R. 🟨,
76', Dzhalilov A. ↓, Komolafe P. ↑,
76', Rakhimov M. ↓, Kamolov R. ↑,
80', Siverio J. ↓, Nemil M. ↑,
83', Chhetri A. ↓, Patre H. ↑,
90', Kamolov R. 🟨,
90+4', Soirov R. ↓, Gafurov M. ↑,

Preview

Istiklol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Istiklol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Istiklol will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Istiklol Dushanbe
Tajik League
24.09.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Barkchi Hisor	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
17.09.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe	5:0 ✺
Tajik League
11.09.25	CSKA-Pomir - Istiklol Dushanbe	3:3 ✺
19.08.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Panjshir	1:0 ✺
14.08.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Istaravshan	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTWW
- FC Goa
AFC Champions League 2
17.09.25	Goa - Al-Zawraa	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Goa - Al-Seeb	2:1 ✺
Indian Super Cup
03.05.25	Goa - Jamshedpur	3:0 ✺
30.04.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - Goa	1:3 ✺
26.04.25	Goa - Punjab	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWW

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