Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play, K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Istiklol Dushanbe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.04	11	30
	1.00	14.87	25.00	Watch
				Watch
	1.04	10.7	28	Watch
	1.07	8.5	23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.13)	11.27 ↑ (8.5)	26.5 ↑ (15)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
88.4%

Draw
8.1%

Istiklol Dushanbe
3.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.8%

11%

6.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Nassr Riyadh's performance.

Istiklol Dushanbe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bento (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. (C) 77. Camara H. 26. Martinez I. 5. Al Amri A. 29. Ghareeb A. 17. Al Khaibari A. 20. Angelo 80. Wesley 79. Joao Felix 96. Al Nasser S.	1. Stosic N. (G) 3. Islomov T. 4. Chobanov M. 15. Suslov K. 21. Nasrullozoda R. 95. Turkaj R. 33. Okoro J. 17. Pandzhshanbe E. 10. Dzhalilov A. (C) 63. Dzhalilov M. 43. Komolafe P.
Substitutes
61. Al Buainain M. (G) 19. Al Hassan A. 83. Al Najdi S. 36. Al Najjar R. (G) 4. Al Sharari N. 12. Boushal N. 11. Brozovic M. 21. Coman K. 10. Mane S. 16. Marran M. 3. Simakan M. 23. Yahya A.	77. Dehghani R. 28. Gafurov M. 8. Haghnazari S. 6. Juraboev A. 66. Kamolov R. 99. Khasanov M. (G) 5. Kurbanov S. 19. Nazarov A. 11. Rahimov I. 55. Safarov M. 9. Soirov R. 70. Sulaymonov S.
Coaches
Jesus J.	Cherevchenko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Al Amri A. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Ghareeb A. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Angelo ⚽, Ghareeb A. (A),
26', Al Nasser S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Okoro J. 🟨,
51', Nasrullozoda R. 🟨,
56', Nasrullozoda R. ↓, Safarov M. ↑,
56', Dzhalilov M. ↓, Juraboev A. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Wesley ⚽, Al Ghannam S. (A),
66', Angelo ↓, Coman K. ↑,
66', Camara H. ↓, Mane S. ↑,
66', Joao Felix ↓, Brozovic M. ↑,
68', Komolafe P. ↓, Soirov R. ↑,
78', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Al Najdi S. ↑,
81', Wesley 🟨,
89', 4 - 0, Coman K. ⚽,
90+3', 5 - 0, Mane S. ⚽, Ghareeb A. (A),

Preview

Recent performances by Al-Nassr have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Istiklol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Nassr is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
14.09.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Kholood	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:5 ✺
Saudi Super Cup
23.08.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3 penalties ✺
19.08.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Almería - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLWL
- Istiklol Dushanbe
Tajik League
11.09.25	CSKA-Pomir - Istiklol Dushanbe	3:3 ✺
19.08.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Panjshir	1:0 ✺
14.08.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Istaravshan	6:0 ✺
22.06.25	Regar-TadAZ - Istiklol Dushanbe	1:2 ✺
18.06.25	Khujand - Istiklol Dushanbe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
05.12.23	Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:1
02.10.23	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe	3:1

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