Match Info

BRAZIL: SERGIPANO - ROUND 8

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Itabaiana		Lagarto

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	2.9
	2.35	3	2.95	Watch
	2.34	2.96	2.94
	2.34	2.96	2.94
	2.36	2.95	3
	2.35	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.48)	2.97 ↓ (3.2)	2.95 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabaiana
38.8%

Draw
30.5%

Lagarto
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

28.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Itabaiana won 2.

Recent matches Itabaiana is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lagarto is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Itabaiana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Itabaiana won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Itabaiana won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.24	Vitória Salvador - Itabaiana	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
03.03.24	Confiança - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.02.24	Ríver PI - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	Itabaiana - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
18.02.24	Itabaiana - Falcon	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWLLW
- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
17.02.24	Lagarto - Carmópolis	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Olimpico EC - Lagarto	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Lagarto - Dorense	3:1 ✺
31.01.24	Sergipe - Lagarto	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Lagarto - Atlético Gloriense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
16.02.23	Itabaiana - Lagarto	1:0
20.03.22	Itabaiana - Lagarto	0:0
05.02.22	Lagarto - Itabaiana	1:2
09.05.21	Itabaiana - Lagarto	0:2
06.05.21	Lagarto - Itabaiana	2:0
01.05.21	Itabaiana - Lagarto	1:1
24.03.21	Lagarto - Itabaiana	0:2

Itabaiana - Lagarto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide