Match Info

EUROPE: Euro - Round 1

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	TV Klan
Argentina	16:00	ESPN
Armenia	23:00	1TV
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MAX 1, beIN Sports MAX 1, beIN Sports MAX 1, beIN Sports MAX 2, beIN Sports MAX 2, beIN Sports MAX 3, beIN Sports MAX 3, beIN Sports MAX 3, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3
Australia	05:00	Optus Sport
Austria	21:00	Servus TV
Azerbaijan	23:00	Ictimai TV
Belgium	21:00	RTBF Tipik, VRT 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	BHT 1
Brazil	16:00	SporTV
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 3, Diema TV
Canada	15:00	CTV, TSN 1, TSN 4, TVA Sports
China	03:00	CCTV-5
Colombia	14:00	ESPN, Flow Sports 1
Croatia	21:00	HRT 2
Cyprus	22:00	RIK 1
Czech Republic	21:00	CT sport
Denmark	21:00	DR 1
Estonia	22:00	ETV 1, ETV+
Finland	22:00	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	21:00	6play, beIN Connect, beIN Sports France 1, M6
Georgia	23:00	1TV
Germany	21:00	ARD, Magenta Sport, Servus TV
Greece	22:00	ERT 1
Hong Kong	03:00	Now Sports 1
Hungary	21:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	19:00	RUV
India	00:30	Sony TEN 2, Sony TEN 3
Indonesia	02:00	RCTI
Ireland	20:00	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	22:00	Sport 1, Sport 3
Italy	21:00	RAI 1, RaiPlay, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251
Japan	04:00	AbemaTV
Kazakhstan	01:00	Qazsport
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	KTRK Sports
Latvia	22:00	TV6
Malaysia	03:00	SPOTV
Malta	21:00	TVM Sport+
Mexico	13:00	Sky Sport
Montenegro	21:00	TVCG 1
Netherlands	21:00	NPO 1, Sporza
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	21:00	NRK 1, NRK TV
Peru	14:00	ESPN
Poland	21:00	TVP 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV1
Romania	22:00	Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 1
Slovakia	21:00	Markiza, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Maximo 1, SuperSport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	04:00	tvN Sports
Spain	21:00	RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	21:00	Discovery+, SVT Play, SVT
Switzerland	21:00	M6, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
Turkey	22:00	TRT
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio, BBC RED Button, BBC Sport
Usa	15:00	Fox, FuboTV
Venezuela	15:00	ESPN
International	19:00	JioTV app, MEGOGO Futbol 1


	Italy		Albania

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9.5
	1.38	4.6	8.75
	1.33	4.95	12
	1.34	5.11	11.5
	1.34	5.11	10.99
	1.4	4.6	9
	1.33	5.45	12.4
	1.34	5.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)	5 ↑ (4.7)	10.52 ↑ (9.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Euro with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

Italy
71.5%

Draw
19.3%

Albania
9.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.3%

20.2%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Albania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86%	8.1%	5.8%

Italy - Albania Predictions

Users Predictions: Italy will win (147 of 167 users predict this - 88.02%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.09% – 92.95%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma G. (C) PSG 2. Di Lorenzo G. Napoli 23. Bastoni A. Inter 5. Calafiori R. Bologna 3. Dimarco F. Inter 8. Jorginho Arsenal 18. Barella N. Inter 7. Frattesi D. Inter 10. Pellegrini Lo. AS Roma 14. Chiesa F. Juventus 9. Scamacca G. Atalanta	23. Strakosha T. (G) Brentford 4. Hysaj E. Lazio 6. Djimsiti B. (C) Atalanta 5. Ajeti Ar. CFR Cluj 3. Mitaj M. Lokomotiv Moscow 21. Asllani K. Inter 20. Ramadani Y. Lecce 10. Bajrami N. Sassuolo 9. Asani J. Gwangju FC 11. Broja A. Fulham 15. Seferi T. Bani Yas
Substitutes
15. Bellanova R. Torino 4. Buongiorno A. Torino 24. Cambiaso A. Juventus 16. Cristante B. AS Roma 13. Darmian M. Inter 22. El Shaarawy S. AS Roma 21. Fagioli N. Juventus 25. Folorunsho M. Verona 6. Gatti F. Juventus 17. Mancini G. AS Roma 26. Meret A. (G) Napoli 11. Raspadori G. Napoli 19. Retegui M. Genoa 12. Vicario G. (G) Tottenham 20. Zaccagni M. Lazio	22. Abrashi A. Grasshoppers 25. Aliji N. Voluntari 2. Balliu I. Rayo Vallecano 1. Berisha E. (G) Empoli 16. Berisha M. Lecce 19. Daku M. Rubin Kazan 8. Gjasula K. Darmstadt 26. Hoxha A. Din. Zagreb 18. Ismajli A. Empoli 12. Kastrati E. (G) Cittadella 24. Kumbulla M. Sassuolo 14. Laci Q. Sparta Prague 7. Manaj R. Sivasspor 13. Mihaj E. Famalicao 17. Muci E. Besiktas
Coaches
Spalletti L.	Mendes S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Bajrami N. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Bastoni A. ⚽, Pellegrini Lo. (A),
16', 2 - 1, Barella N. ⚽,
22', Pellegrini Lo. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Calafiori R. 🟨,
51', Broja A. 🟨,
68', Asani J. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
68', Seferi T. ↓, Laci Q. ↑,
74', Hoxha A. 🟨,
77', Broja A. ↓, Manaj R. ↑,
77', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
77', Chiesa F. ↓, Cambiaso A. ↑,
83', Scamacca G. ↓, Retegui M. ↑,
83', Dimarco F. ↓, Darmian M. ↑,
87', Bajrami N. ↓, Muci E. ↑,
90+2', Barella N. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,

Preview

Italy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Italy is certain favorite.

There will not play in Italy: Fagioli N. (Muscle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Italy won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy
Friendly
09.06.24	Italy - Bosnia and Herzegovina	1:0 ✺
04.06.24	Italy - Turkey	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Italy - Ecuador	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Italy - Venezuela	2:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
20.11.23	Ukraine - Italy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWWT
- Albania
Friendly
07.06.24	Albania - Azerbaijan	3:1 ✺
03.06.24	Albania - Liechtenstein	3:0 ✺
25.03.24	Sweden - Albania	1:0 ✺
22.03.24	Albania - Chile	0:3 ✺
UEFA Euro
20.11.23	Albania - Faroe Islands	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
16.11.22	Albania - Italy	1:3
FIFA World Cup
09.10.17	Albania - Italy	0:1
24.03.17	Italy - Albania	2:0
Friendly
18.11.14	Italy - Albania	1:0

Italy - Albania