Match Info

EUROPE: Euro - Round 1

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	TV Klan
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	1TV
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MAX 1, beIN Sports MAX 1, beIN Sports MAX 1, beIN Sports MAX 2, beIN Sports MAX 2, beIN Sports MAX 2, beIN Sports MAX 3, beIN Sports MAX 3, beIN Sports MAX 3, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Servus TV
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belgium	RTBF Tipik, VRT 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	BHT 1
Brazil	SporTV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Diema TV
Canada	CTV, TSN 1, TSN 4, TVA Sports
China	CCTV-5
Colombia	ESPN, Flow Sports 1
Croatia	HRT 2
Cyprus	RIK 1
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	DR 1
Estonia	ETV 1, ETV+
Finland	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	6play, beIN Connect, beIN Sports France 1, M6
Georgia	1TV
Germany	ARD, Magenta Sport, Servus TV
Greece	ERT 1
Hong-kong	Now Sports 1
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	RUV
India	Sony TEN 2, Sony TEN 3
Indonesia	RCTI
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 3
Italy	RAI 1, RaiPlay, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251
Japan	AbemaTV
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Latvia	TV6
Malaysia	SPOTV
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	TVCG 1
Netherlands	NPO 1, Sporza
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	NRK 1, NRK TV
Peru	ESPN
Poland	TVP 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1
Slovakia	Markiza, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport Maximo 1, SuperSport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	tvN Sports
Spain	RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	Discovery+, SVT Play, SVT
Switzerland	M6, M6, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
Turkey	TRT
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio, BBC RED Button, BBC Sport
Usa	Fox, FuboTV
Venezuela	ESPN
World	JioTV app, MEGOGO Futbol 1


	Italy		Albania

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9.5
	1.38	4.6	8.75
	1.33	4.95	12
	1.34	5.11	11.5
	1.34	5.11	10.99
	1.4	4.6	9
	1.33	5.45	12.4
	1.34	5.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)	5 ↑ (4.7)	10.52 ↑ (9.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Euro with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

Italy
71.5%

Draw
19.3%

Albania
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

20.2%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Albania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86%	8.1%	5.8%

Italy - Albania Predictions

Users Predictions: Italy will win (147 of 167 users predict this - 88.02%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.09% – 92.95%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma G. (C) PSG 2. Di Lorenzo G. Napoli 23. Bastoni A. Inter 5. Calafiori R. Bologna 3. Dimarco F. Inter 8. Jorginho Arsenal 18. Barella N. Inter 7. Frattesi D. Inter 10. Pellegrini Lo. AS Roma 14. Chiesa F. Juventus 9. Scamacca G. Atalanta	23. Strakosha T. (G) Brentford 4. Hysaj E. Lazio 6. Djimsiti B. (C) Atalanta 5. Ajeti Ar. CFR Cluj 3. Mitaj M. Lokomotiv Moscow 21. Asllani K. Inter 20. Ramadani Y. Lecce 10. Bajrami N. Sassuolo 9. Asani J. Gwangju FC 11. Broja A. Fulham 15. Seferi T. Bani Yas
Substitutes
15. Bellanova R. Torino 4. Buongiorno A. Torino 24. Cambiaso A. Juventus 16. Cristante B. AS Roma 13. Darmian M. Inter 22. El Shaarawy S. AS Roma 21. Fagioli N. Juventus 25. Folorunsho M. Verona 6. Gatti F. Juventus 17. Mancini G. AS Roma 26. Meret A. (G) Napoli 11. Raspadori G. Napoli 19. Retegui M. Genoa 12. Vicario G. (G) Tottenham 20. Zaccagni M. Lazio	22. Abrashi A. Grasshoppers 25. Aliji N. Voluntari 2. Balliu I. Rayo Vallecano 1. Berisha E. (G) Empoli 16. Berisha M. Lecce 19. Daku M. Rubin Kazan 8. Gjasula K. Darmstadt 26. Hoxha A. Din. Zagreb 18. Ismajli A. Empoli 12. Kastrati E. (G) Cittadella 24. Kumbulla M. Sassuolo 14. Laci Q. Sparta Prague 7. Manaj R. Sivasspor 13. Mihaj E. Famalicao 17. Muci E. Besiktas
Coaches
Spalletti L.	Mendes S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Bajrami N. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Bastoni A. ⚽, Pellegrini Lo. (A),
16', 2 - 1, Barella N. ⚽,
22', Pellegrini Lo. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Calafiori R. 🟨,
51', Broja A. 🟨,
68', Asani J. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
68', Seferi T. ↓, Laci Q. ↑,
74', Hoxha A. 🟨,
77', Broja A. ↓, Manaj R. ↑,
77', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
77', Chiesa F. ↓, Cambiaso A. ↑,
83', Scamacca G. ↓, Retegui M. ↑,
83', Dimarco F. ↓, Darmian M. ↑,
87', Bajrami N. ↓, Muci E. ↑,
90+2', Barella N. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,

Preview

Italy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Italy is certain favorite.

There will not play in Italy: Fagioli N. (Muscle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Italy won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy
Friendly
09.06.24	Italy - Bosnia and Herzegovina	1:0 ✺
04.06.24	Italy - Turkey	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Italy - Ecuador	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Italy - Venezuela	2:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
20.11.23	Ukraine - Italy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWWT
- Albania
Friendly
07.06.24	Albania - Azerbaijan	3:1 ✺
03.06.24	Albania - Liechtenstein	3:0 ✺
25.03.24	Sweden - Albania	1:0 ✺
22.03.24	Albania - Chile	0:3 ✺
UEFA Euro
20.11.23	Albania - Faroe Islands	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
16.11.22	Albania - Italy	1:3
FIFA World Cup
09.10.17	Albania - Italy	0:1
24.03.17	Italy - Albania	2:0
Friendly
18.11.14	Italy - Albania	1:0

Italy - Albania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide