Match Info

WORLD: FRIENDLY INTERNATIONAL

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	Italy		Ecuador

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	2.15	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.18	3.21	3.76
	2.16	3.21	3.76
	2	3.25	3.4
	2.12	3.24	3.69	Watch
	2.17	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.86)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	3.6 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
44.2%

Draw
29.6%

Ecuador
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28.1%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Italy's form might have worsened.

Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71%	19.4%	9.7%

Italy - Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 22 - 71%). Ecuador will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 55% – 87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vicario G. (G) 16. Mancini G. 23. Bastoni A. 25. Bellanova R. 13. Darmian M. 18. Barella N. (C) 8. Jorginho 3. Dimarco F. 10. Pellegrini Lo. 22. Zaniolo N. 11. Raspadori G.	12. Burrai J. (G) 2. Torres F. 6. Pacho W. 3. Hincapie P. 17. Preciado A. 21. Franco A. 23. Caicedo M. 7. Estupinan P. (C) 10. Plata G. 11. Sarmiento J. 26. Minda A.
Substitutes
7. Bonaventura G. 4. Buongiorno A. 24. Cambiaso A. 21. Carnesecchi M. (G) 14. Chiesa F. 2. Di Lorenzo G. 1. Donnarumma G. (G) 19. Frattesi D. 5. Locatelli M. 17. Orsolini R. 9. Retegui M. 15. Scalvini G. 20. Zaccagni M.	13. Andres Hurtado 19. Caicedo J. 14. Chala A. 5. Cifuentes J. 22. Dominguez A. (G) 1. Galindez H. (G) 8. Gruezo C. 15. Mena A. 25. Obando A. 24. Ordonez J. 18. Ortiz J. 16. Paez K. 20. Realpe L. 4. Robert Arboleda 9. Yeboah J.
Coaches
Spalletti L.	Sanchez Bas F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Pellegrini Lo. ⚽,
38', Jorginho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bellanova R. ↓, Di Lorenzo G. ↑,
65', Minda A. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
66', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
67', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
67', Jorginho ↓, Locatelli M. ↑,
73', Mancini G. 🟨,
76', Zaniolo N. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
76', Raspadori G. ↓, Retegui M. ↑,
79', Franco A. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
80', Sarmiento J. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
88', Dimarco F. ↓, Cambiaso A. ↑,
89', Hincapie P. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Barella N. ⚽, Orsolini R. (A),

Preview

Neutral location.

Italy will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy
Friendly
21.03.24	Italy - Venezuela	2:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
20.11.23	Ukraine - Italy	0:0 ✺
17.11.23	Italy - North Macedonia	5:2 ✺
17.10.23	England - Italy	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Italy - Malta	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWLW
- Ecuador
Friendly
21.03.24	Guatemala - Ecuador	0:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
21.11.23	Ecuador - Chile	1:0 ✺
16.11.23	Venezuela - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
17.10.23	Ecuador - Colombia	0:0 ✺
12.10.23	Bolivia - Ecuador	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTTW

Italy - Ecuador: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide