Match Info

World Cup - Qualification

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	06:45	Stan Sport
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:45	CBC Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
China	03:45	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	ESPN
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	L'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	23:45	Silk Universal
Germany	20:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports Prime
Hungary	20:45	Spiler2 TV
Iceland	19:45	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	01:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	02:45	RCTI
Ireland	19:45	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	21:45	Sport 4
Italy	20:45	RAI 1, RaiPlay
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	22:45	Gotv
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 1
Maldives	00:45	Medianet
Mexico	13:45	Sky Sport
Mongolia	03:45	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:45	Sky Sport 2, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	20:45	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	20:45	TV2, TV2 Play
Peru	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	20:45	Polsat Sport 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV1
Romania	21:45	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	22:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
South Africa	21:45	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	03:45	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	22:45	Exxen
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:45	TV 360
International	19:45	Sport 24 Extra


	Italy		Norway

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.7	3.1
	2.18	3.55	3.2
	2.21	3.63	3.28
	1.81	4.05	3.97	Watch
	2.42	3.67	3.03	Watch
	1.85	3.7	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.84)	3.72 ↑ (3.6)	3.43 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
45.9%

Draw
26%

Norway
28.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

26.2%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Italy's form might have worsened.

Norway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norway's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.7%	36.2%	12.1%

Italy - Norway Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 29 - 52.7%). Norway will win (votes: 6 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 39.5% – 65.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 15 - 48.4%). Norway (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Tie (votes: 11 - 35.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Norway (1.70) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Norway (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 15 - 40.5%). Norway (votes: 11 - 29.7%). Tie (votes: 11 - 29.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma G. (C) Manchester City 22. Di Lorenzo G. Napoli 23. Mancini G. AS Roma 21. Bastoni A. Inter 3. Dimarco F. Inter 7. Politano M. Napoli 5. Locatelli M. Juventus 18. Barella N. Inter 8. Frattesi D. Inter 9. Retegui M. Al Qadisiya 15. Esposito F. Inter	1. Nyland O. (G) Sevilla 14. Ryerson J. Dortmund 3. Ajer K. Brentford 17. Heggem T. Bologna 5. Wolfe D. M. Wolves 18. Thorstvedt K. Sassuolo 6. Berg P. Bodo/Glimt 8. Berge S. Fulham 20. Nusa A. RB Leipzig 7. Sorloth A. Atl. Madrid 9. Haaland E. (C) Manchester City
Substitutes
2. Bellanova R. Atalanta 4. Buongiorno A. Napoli 19. Cambiaso A. Juventus 12. Carnesecchi M. (G) Atalanta 16. Cristante B. AS Roma 13. Gabbia M. AC Milan 17. Orsolini R. Bologna 10. Raspadori G. Atl. Madrid 6. Ricci S. AC Milan 11. Scamacca G. Atalanta 14. Vicario G. (G) Tottenham 20. Zaccagni M. Lazio	23. Aasgaard T. Rangers 19. Arnstad K. Aarhus 15. Bjorkan F. Bodo/Glimt 22. Bobb O. Manchester City 12. Dyngeland M. (G) Brann 21. Langas S. Derby 11. Larsen J. S. Wolves 4. Ostigard L. Genoa 16. Pedersen M. Torino 10. Schjelderup A. Benfica 13. Tangvik S. (G) Rosenborg 2. Thorsby M. Genoa
Coaches
Gattuso G.	Solbakken S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Esposito F. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
44', Gattuso G. 🟨,
45+2', Barella N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
63', 1 - 1, Nusa A. ⚽, Sorloth A. (A),
64', Berg P. ↓, Thorsby M. ↑,
67', Bastoni A. 🟨,
68', Frattesi D. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
69', Esposito F. 🟨,
75', Thorstvedt K. ↓, Aasgaard T. ↑,
75', Sorloth A. ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Haaland E. ⚽, Bobb O. (A),
79', Locatelli M. ↓, Scamacca G. ↑,
79', Esposito F. ↓, Zaccagni M. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Haaland E. ⚽, Thorsby M. (A),
86', Barella N. ↓, Buongiorno A. ↑,
86', Bastoni A. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
89', Wolfe D. M. ↓, Ostigard L. ↑,
89', Haaland E. ↓, Larsen J. S. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 4, Larsen J. S. ⚽, Thorsby M. (A),
90+3', Larsen J. S. 🟨,

Preview

Italy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy
FIFA World Cup
13.11.25	Moldova - Italy	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Italy - Israel	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Estonia - Italy	1:3 ✺
08.09.25	Israel - Italy	4:5 ✺
05.09.25	Italy - Estonia	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- Norway
FIFA World Cup
13.11.25	Norway - Estonia	4:1 ✺
Friendly
14.10.25	Norway - New Zealand	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
11.10.25	Norway - Israel	5:0 ✺
09.09.25	Norway - Moldova	11:1 ✺
Friendly
04.09.25	Norway - Finland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
06.06.25	Norway - Italy	3:0
UEFA Euro
13.10.15	Italy - Norway	2:1
09.09.14	Norway - Italy	0:2

Italy - Norway