Match Info

World Cup - Qualification

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	L'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hungary	Spiler2 TV
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	RCTI
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	RAI 1, RaiPlay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	TV2, TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Sport 24 Extra


	Italy		Norway

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.7	3.1
	2.18	3.55	3.2
	2.21	3.63	3.28
	1.81	4.05	3.97	Watch
	2.42	3.67	3.03	Watch
	1.85	3.7	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.84)	3.72 ↑ (3.6)	3.43 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
45.9%

Draw
26%

Norway
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

26.2%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Italy's form might have worsened.

Norway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norway's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.7%	36.2%	12.1%

Italy - Norway Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 29 - 52.7%). Norway will win (votes: 6 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 39.5% – 65.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 15 - 48.4%). Norway (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Tie (votes: 11 - 35.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Norway (1.70) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Norway (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 15 - 40.5%). Norway (votes: 11 - 29.7%). Tie (votes: 11 - 29.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma G. (C) Manchester City 22. Di Lorenzo G. Napoli 23. Mancini G. AS Roma 21. Bastoni A. Inter 3. Dimarco F. Inter 7. Politano M. Napoli 5. Locatelli M. Juventus 18. Barella N. Inter 8. Frattesi D. Inter 9. Retegui M. Al Qadisiya 15. Esposito F. Inter	1. Nyland O. (G) Sevilla 14. Ryerson J. Dortmund 3. Ajer K. Brentford 17. Heggem T. Bologna 5. Wolfe D. M. Wolves 18. Thorstvedt K. Sassuolo 6. Berg P. Bodo/Glimt 8. Berge S. Fulham 20. Nusa A. RB Leipzig 7. Sorloth A. Atl. Madrid 9. Haaland E. (C) Manchester City
Substitutes
2. Bellanova R. Atalanta 4. Buongiorno A. Napoli 19. Cambiaso A. Juventus 12. Carnesecchi M. (G) Atalanta 16. Cristante B. AS Roma 13. Gabbia M. AC Milan 17. Orsolini R. Bologna 10. Raspadori G. Atl. Madrid 6. Ricci S. AC Milan 11. Scamacca G. Atalanta 14. Vicario G. (G) Tottenham 20. Zaccagni M. Lazio	23. Aasgaard T. Rangers 19. Arnstad K. Aarhus 15. Bjorkan F. Bodo/Glimt 22. Bobb O. Manchester City 12. Dyngeland M. (G) Brann 21. Langas S. Derby 11. Larsen J. S. Wolves 4. Ostigard L. Genoa 16. Pedersen M. Torino 10. Schjelderup A. Benfica 13. Tangvik S. (G) Rosenborg 2. Thorsby M. Genoa
Coaches
Gattuso G.	Solbakken S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Esposito F. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
44', Gattuso G. 🟨,
45+2', Barella N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
63', 1 - 1, Nusa A. ⚽, Sorloth A. (A),
64', Berg P. ↓, Thorsby M. ↑,
67', Bastoni A. 🟨,
68', Frattesi D. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
69', Esposito F. 🟨,
75', Thorstvedt K. ↓, Aasgaard T. ↑,
75', Sorloth A. ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Haaland E. ⚽, Bobb O. (A),
79', Locatelli M. ↓, Scamacca G. ↑,
79', Esposito F. ↓, Zaccagni M. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Haaland E. ⚽, Thorsby M. (A),
86', Barella N. ↓, Buongiorno A. ↑,
86', Bastoni A. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
89', Wolfe D. M. ↓, Ostigard L. ↑,
89', Haaland E. ↓, Larsen J. S. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 4, Larsen J. S. ⚽, Thorsby M. (A),
90+3', Larsen J. S. 🟨,

Preview

Italy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy
FIFA World Cup
13.11.25	Moldova - Italy	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Italy - Israel	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Estonia - Italy	1:3 ✺
08.09.25	Israel - Italy	4:5 ✺
05.09.25	Italy - Estonia	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- Norway
FIFA World Cup
13.11.25	Norway - Estonia	4:1 ✺
Friendly
14.10.25	Norway - New Zealand	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
11.10.25	Norway - Israel	5:0 ✺
09.09.25	Norway - Moldova	11:1 ✺
Friendly
04.09.25	Norway - Finland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
06.06.25	Norway - Italy	3:0
UEFA Euro
13.10.15	Italy - Norway	2:1
09.09.14	Norway - Italy	0:2

Italy - Norway: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide