Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 7

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Itapirense		Bandeirante

	1	X	2
	2.02	3	3.5
	2	3.2	3.41
	2.09	3.01	3.55	Watch
	2	3.2	3.3
	2.01	3.5	3.5
	2.05	2.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.9)	3.14 ↑ (3.09)	3.48 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itapirense
44.8%

Draw
29%

Bandeirante
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

29.1%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

28%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Bandeirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandeirante than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Itapirense - Bandeirante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Bandeirante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Itapirense is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Itapirense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Itapirense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.02.26	União Suzano - Itapirense	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Itapirense - XV de Jaú	1:3 ✺
04.02.26	Itapirense - Marília	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Catanduva - Itapirense	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Itapirense - Francana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- Bandeirante EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.02.26	Bandeirante - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Bandeirante - União Barbarense	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Desportivo Brasil - Bandeirante	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Marília - Bandeirante	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bandeirante - Portuguesa Santista	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.02.25	Bandeirante - Itapirense	0:2
13.03.24	Itapirense - Bandeirante	1:1

Itapirense - Bandeirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide