Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 10

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Itapirense		União Suzano

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.25	4.2
	1.72	3.23	4.59
	1.75	3.41	4.49	Watch
	1.71	3.4	4.57
	1.81	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.4)	3.31 ↑ (2.9)	4.41 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itapirense
51.8%

Draw
27.6%

União Suzano
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

31.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

30.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itapirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Itapirense's performance.

União Suzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União Suzano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Itapirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Suzano than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União Suzano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Itapirense - União Suzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Chrismar ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Fabio 🟥,
85', 2 - 0, Lauder ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Itapirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently União Suzano have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Itapirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
19.02.25	Itapirense - Desportivo Brasil	2:3 ✺
15.02.25	Comercial SP - Itapirense	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Francana - Itapirense	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Itapirense - Sertãozinho	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Bandeirante - Itapirense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWLW
- União Suzano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
19.02.25	União Suzano - Marília	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	União Suzano - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	União Suzano - Atlético Monte Azul	1:3 ✺
01.02.25	Catanduva - União Suzano	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	União Suzano - Sertãozinho	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
23.03.24	União Suzano - Itapirense	0:0

Itapirense - União Suzano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide