Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 9

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday


	Itapirense		Desportivo Brasil

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.85
	2.38	3.02	2.82
	2.45	3.02	2.87	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.9
	2.29	3.12	3.22
	2.45	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.86)	2.97 ↓ (3.36)	2.92 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itapirense
37.8%

Draw
30.8%

Desportivo Brasil
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

28%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.2%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itapirense's form might have worsened.

Desportivo Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Desportivo Brasil's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itapirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportivo Brasil than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desportivo Brasil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Itapirense - Desportivo Brasil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
64', 0 - 1, Lucas Gadelha ⚽,
71', 0 - 2, Lucas Gadelha ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, Chrismar ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, Luiz Felipe ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, Lauder (Pen),

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Itapirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Itapirense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Itapirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.02.25	Comercial SP - Itapirense	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Francana - Itapirense	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Itapirense - Sertãozinho	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Bandeirante - Itapirense	0:2 ✺
29.01.25	Itapirense - Lemense FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLWL
- Desportivo Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.02.25	Desportivo Brasil - Catanduva	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	XV de Jaú - Desportivo Brasil	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Desportivo Brasil - Comercial SP	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	União São João - Desportivo Brasil	3:3 ✺
02.02.25	EC São Bernardo - Desportivo Brasil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
27.01.24	Desportivo Brasil - Itapirense	1:1

Itapirense - Desportivo Brasil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide