Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 15

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Comercial SP		XV de Jaú

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Comercial SP
46.6%

Draw
30.7%

XV de Jaú
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.5%

29.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

29.4%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

XV de Jaú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (-3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Comercial SP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Comercial SP is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
08.03.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Comercial SP	4:0 ✺
05.03.25	Comercial SP - Bandeirante	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Comercial SP - EC São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Comercial SP - Francana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTLT
- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
12.03.25	XV de Jaú - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	XV de Jaú - Atlético Monte Azul	2:2 ✺
05.03.25	XV de Jaú - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Catanduva - XV de Jaú	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Lemense FC - XV de Jaú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWLL

Comercial SP - XV de Jaú