Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 1

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	XV de Jaú		União São João

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.82	2.98
	2.45	2.79	3.07	Watch
	2.4	2.75	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.35)	2.79 ↓ (3.01)	3.06 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

XV de Jaú
37.8%

Draw
32.5%

União São João
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

XV de Jaú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

União São João has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

XV de Jaú - União São João Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Bruninho ⚽,
35', Dos Santos 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, XV de Jaú won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, XV de Jaú won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

XV de Jaú - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.92%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

União São João - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.69%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.03.25	Comercial SP - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	XV de Jaú - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	XV de Jaú - Atlético Monte Azul	2:2 ✺
05.03.25	XV de Jaú - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Catanduva - XV de Jaú	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWTWL
- União São João de Araras
Brazilian Copa Paulista
12.09.25	União São João - EC Primavera	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	EC Primavera - União São João	4:0 ✺
29.08.25	União São João - EC Noroeste	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	EC Noroeste - União São João	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	União São João - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.01.25	União São João - XV de Jaú	0:0
Brazilian Copa Paulista
31.08.24	XV de Jaú - União São João	0:1
24.08.24	União São João - XV de Jaú	0:0

XV de Jaú - União São João: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide