Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 10

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Itapirense U20		Aguaí U20

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	2.15	3.5	2.78
				Watch
	2.17	3.52	2.82
	2.1	3.57	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.93)	3.52 ↓ (3.88)	2.78 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itapirense U20
42.2%

Draw
25.5%

Aguaí U20
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

23.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

22.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itapirense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Aguaí U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense U20 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itapirense U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguaí U20 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Itapirense U20 - Aguaí U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Lucas Norio ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Itapirense U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Itapirense U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Itapirense U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Itapirense U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
25.06.25	Internacional de Limeira U20 - Itapirense U20	1:0 ✺
20.06.25	Itapirense U20 - São José-SP U20	2:2 ✺
06.06.25	CA Juventus U20 - Itapirense U20	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Santos U20 - Itapirense U20	2:2 ✺
23.05.25	Itapirense U20 - Sfera U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTLTW
- SC Aguaí U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
20.06.25	EC São Bernardo U20 - Aguaí U20	5:1 ✺
06.06.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Aguaí U20	1:2 ✺
30.05.25	Aguaí U20 - Grêmio Osasco Audax U20	0:0 ✺
23.05.25	CA Juventus U20 - Aguaí U20	0:0 ✺
16.05.25	Aguaí U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
24.05.24	Itapirense U20 - Aguaí U20	2:1
19.04.24	Aguaí U20 - Itapirense U20	4:0

Itapirense U20 - Aguaí U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide