Match Info
Paulista B - Round 9Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Itaquá |
|
Mauá |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.60 |
3.55 |
4.30 |
|
 |
1.51 |
3.94 |
5.6 |
 Watch |
 |
1.47 |
3.86 |
6.15 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.7) |
3.78 ↑
(3.4) |
5.35 ↑
(3.95) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Itaquá
59.2% | Draw
23.9% | Mauá
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itaquá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Itaquá's performance.Mauá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mauá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itaquá than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mauá than the current prediction. (+3.4%)Itaquá - Mauá Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (4 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 10', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 29', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 38', 4 - 0, ⚽,
- 42', 🟥,
- 42', 🟥,
- 42', 🟥,
- 45+12', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 79', 5 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Itaquá is Qualified for Paulista B (Play Offs 1/8~finals)Itaquá has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).Mauá has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Mauá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Itaquá is the team to beat.We predict that Itaquá will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itaquá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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