Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 13

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Ituano		Taubaté

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.4	5.2	Watch
	1.61	3.48	5.59
	1.6	3.51	5.55	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.7	3.46	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.98)	3.43 ↑ (3.13)	5.3 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
56%

Draw
26.7%

Taubaté
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.1%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

29.2%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ituano's performance.

Taubaté has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taubaté might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ituano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taubaté could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ituano - Taubaté Predictions

Users Predictions: Ituano will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Fernando Canesin ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ituano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ituano is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
23.02.25	Piracicaba - Ituano	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Ituano - Osasco Sporting	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Santo André - Ituano	2:2 ✺
12.02.25	Ituano - EC Primavera	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Portuguesa Santista - Ituano	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTTLT
- EC Taubaté
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
22.02.25	Grêmio Prudente - Taubaté	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Taubaté - Rio Claro	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	EC Primavera - Taubaté	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Taubaté - Capivariano	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Taubaté - Linense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLWL

Ituano - Taubaté: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide