Match Info
Paulista A2 - Second stage - Round 5Date: 8 April 2026, WednesdayLocation: Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra (Piracicaba)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
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Piracicaba |
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Ituano |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.08 |
3.18 |
3.6 |
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 |
2.07 |
3.16 |
3.4 |
 Watch |
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2.1 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
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 |
2.23 |
3.11 |
3.22 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.57) |
3.09 ↑
(2.95) |
3.41 ↑
(2.68) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Piracicaba
43.3% | Draw
29.7% | Ituano
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piracicaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piracicaba's performance.Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ituano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piracicaba that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+4.8%)Piracicaba - Ituano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 0, Paulo Marcelo (Penalty Awarded),
- 81', 3 - 0, Serginho ⚽,
Preview
Ituano is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piracicaba won 0.Recent performances by Piracicaba have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Ituano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Ituano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Piracicaba will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Piracicaba won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Piracicaba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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