Match Info

Primera C - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Sacaan (Ituzaingó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
South-america	DGO Latin America
Venezuela	DSPORTS+ Plus


	Ituzaingó		Sportivo Barracas

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.5	3.38
	2.37	2.57	3.56	Watch
	2.38	2.56	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.97)	2.54 ↓ (2.8)	3.46 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
37.9%

Draw
35.8%

Sportivo Barracas
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

32.2%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

31.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ituzaingó's form might have worsened.

Sportivo Barracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituzaingó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Barracas than the current prediction. (-5%)

Ituzaingó - Sportivo Barracas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ituzaingó (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 1, Di Criscenzo T. ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Ituzaingó is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera C
03.11.25	Sportivo Barracas - Ituzaingó	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Español	2:2 ✺
23.10.25	Deportivo Español - Ituzaingó	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Deportivo Camioneros - Ituzaingó	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Camioneros	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWLW
- Sportivo Barracas
Argentinian Primera C
03.11.25	Sportivo Barracas - Ituzaingó	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Sportivo Barracas - Leandro N. Alem	1:0 ✺
23.10.25	Leandro N. Alem - Sportivo Barracas	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Club Luján - Sportivo Barracas	1:2 penalties ✺
13.10.25	Sportivo Barracas - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
03.11.25	Sportivo Barracas - Ituzaingó	0:1
13.08.24	Sportivo Barracas - Ituzaingó	1:1
23.03.24	Ituzaingó - Sportivo Barracas	2:2
03.05.19	Ituzaingó - Sportivo Barracas	1:0
23.11.18	Sportivo Barracas - Ituzaingó	0:1
11.03.18	Ituzaingó - Sportivo Barracas	1:1
08.10.17	Sportivo Barracas - Ituzaingó	2:0

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