Match Info

Primera B - Round 11

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Carlos Sacaan (Ituzaingó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Ituzaingó		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	3.85	3	1.92	Watch
	4.2	3	1.95
	4.14	3.16	1.87	Watch
	4	2.9	1.91
	4.6	2.98	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (4.15)	3.01 (3.01)	1.9 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
21.9%

Draw
30.2%

Arsenal Sarandí
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

30.4%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

28.8%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Ituzaingó - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo H. (G) 4. Aguirre M. 9. Bermejo M. 8. Campusano M. 10. Celeste F. 5. Fanti J. 2. Gayoso E. 6. Liporace I. 7. Mena L. 3. Politano A. 11. Sotelo A.	1. Lobelos J. (G) 5. Colletta T. 9. Kestler I. 11. La Roza U. 2. Payes A. 6. Peralta I. 3. Perez D. 4. Schiavulli T. 10. Sosa M. 7. Trombini M. 8. Vila J.
Substitutes
12. Balderrama M. A. (G) 20. Bravo G. 18. Brotzman S. 16. Luppino F. 13. Maciel E. 14. Mantovani E. 17. Maza J. 19. Moreira M. 15. Sala H.	13. Brienzo N. 18. Cabral D. 14. Cabrera I. 15. Del Col M. 16. Goncebat J. 17. Lucero M. 20. Ochoa J. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 19. Wilk B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Aguirre M. 🟨,
7', Vila J. 🟨,
9', Peralta I. 🟨,
45+1', Perez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Celeste F. ↓, Luppino F. ↑,
46', Aguirre M. ↓, Maciel E. ↑,
56', Trombini M. ↓, Lucero M. ↑,
66', Perez D. ↓, Goncebat J. ↑,
67', Sosa M. ↓, Cabral D. ↑,
71', Fanti J. ↓, Moreira M. ↑,
80', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional).

Ituzaingó is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Arsenal Sarandí is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Arsenal Sarandí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arsenal Sarandí is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
22	Ituzaingo	38	1	12	25	25:62	-37	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera B
11.04.26	Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Ituzaingó - Argentino de Merlo	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Ituzaingó	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Ituzaingó - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sportivo Italiano - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLTT
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
10.04.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Argentino de Merlo	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Laferrere	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Brown de Adrogué - Arsenal Sarandí	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Armenio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

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