Match Info

Primera C - Round 16

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1611
South-america	DGO Latin America


	Ituzaingó		Berazategui

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.87	3.5
	2.12	2.82	3.5	Watch
	2.23	2.84	3.44
				Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.6
	2.14	2.75	3.73
	2.07	2.92	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.65)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)	3.57 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
42.6%

Draw
32%

Berazategui
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

33.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

33%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ituzaingó's performance.

Berazategui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Berazategui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ituzaingó that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berazategui than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Berazategui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ituzaingó - Berazategui Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Fernandez G. D. ⚽,
69', Vera A. 🟥,
71', 1 - 1, Soria R. ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Campusano M. ⚽,
90+11', Faillace A. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Ituzaingó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ituzaingó might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera C
21.06.25	Deportivo Español - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Atlético Claypole - Ituzaingó	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Muñiz	0:0 ✺
20.05.25	Justo José de Urquiza - Ituzaingó	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Ituzaingó - El Porvenir	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWTWW
- AD Berazategui
Argentinian Primera C
28.06.25	Berazategui - Deportivo Español	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Atlético Claypole - Berazategui	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Berazategui	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Berazategui - Justo José de Urquiza	1:0 ✺
20.05.25	El Porvenir - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
26.03.25	Berazategui - Ituzaingó	0:1
09.08.24	Ituzaingó - Berazategui	1:1
08.03.24	Berazategui - Ituzaingó	2:1
17.10.21	Berazategui - Ituzaingó	0:0
23.06.21	Ituzaingó - Berazategui	0:0
27.12.20	Ituzaingó - Berazategui	1:0
16.11.19	Ituzaingó - Berazategui	1:1

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