The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Justo José de Urquiza 27.3%
Draw 32%
Ituzaingó 40.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
30.8%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
29.7%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Justo José de Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Justo José de Urquiza's form might have worsened.
Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ituzaingó's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Justo José de Urquiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituzaingó, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Ituzaingó (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ituzaingó (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Faillace A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Justo José Urquiza won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ituzaingó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Justo José Urquiza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Justo José Urquiza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Justo José Urquiza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Justo José de Urquiza - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.48%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Ituzaingó - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 28.73%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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