Match Info

Primera C - Round 11

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday


	El Porvenir		Berazategui

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.2	1.84	Watch
	4.12	3.18	1.86
	2.66	3.03	2.62	Watch
	4.38	3.24	1.78
	4.1	3.2	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (2.67)	3.17 ↑ (3)	1.99 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
24%

Draw
29.3%

Berazategui
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

30.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

30.2%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Porvenir's form might have worsened.

Berazategui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Berazategui's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Porvenir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berazategui than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Berazategui, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

El Porvenir - Berazategui Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Berazategui (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Centurion I. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 0.

El Porvenir has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Berazategui is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Berazategui may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
10.05.25	Ituzaingó - El Porvenir	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	El Porvenir - Deportivo Español	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Atlético Claypole - El Porvenir	4:2 ✺
23.04.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - El Porvenir	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	El Porvenir - Deportivo Muñiz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLLW
- AD Berazategui
Argentinian Primera C
11.05.25	Berazategui - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Leandro N. Alem - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Berazategui - Mercedes	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Berazategui	4:1 ✺
12.04.25	Berazategui - Puerto Nuevo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
04.08.24	Berazategui - El Porvenir	2:1
03.03.24	El Porvenir - Berazategui	1:2
30.07.22	El Porvenir - Berazategui	1:3
27.03.22	Berazategui - El Porvenir	1:0
29.08.21	El Porvenir - Berazategui	0:1
14.04.21	Berazategui - El Porvenir	3:1
04.02.20	Berazategui - El Porvenir	0:1

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