The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ituzaingó 19.2%
Draw 27.7%
Comunicaciones 53%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.9%
29.3%
41.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
28.3%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ituzaingó's form might have worsened.
Comunicaciones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comunicaciones's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituzaingó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comunicaciones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ituzaingó - Comunicaciones Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barraza L. (G) 3. Barea T. 5. Desposito P. 11. Fanti J. 9. Gras S. 6. Mantovani E. (C) 2. Martinez J. 7. Maza J. 10. Mena L. 4. Regules I. 8. Sotelo A.
1. Bacher E. (G) 3. Compagnucci R. 2. Fabello F. 4. Figueroa R. 9. Heidenreich J. 10. Ibanez J. (C) 6. Mattia F. 5. Porto T. 8. Puigdellivol C. 11. Quevedo V. 7. Vazquez C.
Substitutes
12. Almiron A. (G) 14. Bermejo M. 15. Fernandez J. 18. Luppino F. 20. Miranda A. 19. Odunukwe J. 13. Politano A. 16. Salvadores J. 17. Santiago N.
19. Barroso J. 15. Carruega I. 13. Di Lena F. 14. Jaque G. 16. Rolon T. 18. Ruiz P. 20. Vico L. 17. Villalba J. 12. Yacaruso G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Heidenreich J. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Desposito P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Mena L. 🟨,
51', Fabello F. 🟨,
53', 1 - 2, Quevedo V. ⚽,
57', 2 - 2, Sotelo A. ⚽,
62', Gras S. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
66', Vazquez C. ↓, Villalba J. ↑,
73', Porto T. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
73', Figueroa R. ↓, Jaque G. ↑,
74', Sotelo A. 🟨,
77', Sotelo A. ↓, Salvadores J. ↑,
77', Mena L. ↓, Santiago N. ↑,
82', Compagnucci R. ↓, Di Lena F. ↑,
82', Quevedo V. ↓, Vico L. ↑,
85', Puigdellivol C. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Ituzaingó has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Comunicaciones is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Comunicaciones is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Comunicaciones
38
14
13
11
39:34
5
55
22
Ituzaingo
38
1
12
25
25:62
-37
15
Last Results with these Odds
Ituzaingó - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.