The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Comunicaciones 48.5%
Draw 30.4%
Deportivo Merlo 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
30.3%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
28.8%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comunicaciones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comunicaciones's performance.
Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Merlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comunicaciones that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Merlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Comunicaciones - Deportivo Merlo Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Comunicaciones will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bacher E. (G) 3. Compagnucci R. 4. Figueroa R. 10. Ibanez J. 6. Mattia F. 5. Porto T. 8. Puigdellivol C. 11. Quevedo V. 7. Vazquez C. 2. Zabala G.
1. Figueroa T. (G) 5. Alfieri L. 2. Barrientos L. 8. Benitez F. 7. Linas M. 4. Miguez L. 6. Minnicelli A. 11. Paez A. M. 10. Quinteros E. 9. Sandoval I. 3. Velasco A.
Substitutes
16. Barroso J. 19. Brambillo M. 15. Carruega I. 14. Di Lena F. 20. Gaona L. 9. Heidenreich J. 13. Ruiz N. 18. Ruiz P. 17. Villalba J. 12. Yacaruso G. (G)
16. Aguerre F. 15. Busto J. 19. Da Rosa J. E. 13. Figueredo L. 20. Gugenheim C. 17. Hernandez R. 14. Ibarra L. 18. Maguicha D. 12. Ratti V. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Heidenreich J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Linas M. ↓, Busto J. ↑,
46', Benitez F. ↓, Aguerre F. ↑,
46', Alfieri L. ↓, Maguicha D. ↑,
51', Figueroa R. 🟨,
65', Busto J. 🟨,
68', Vazquez C. ↓, Barroso J. ↑,
71', Velasco A. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
74', Ibanez J. 🟨,
75', Quevedo V. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
82', Figueroa R. ↓, Carruega I. ↑,
83', Miguez L. ↓, Da Rosa J. E. ↑,
90', Busto J. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comunicaciones won 2.
Recent performances by Comunicaciones have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Merlo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Comunicaciones is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Comunicaciones won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Comunicaciones won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Comunicaciones
38
14
13
11
39:34
5
55
15
Dep. Merlo
38
10
14
14
36:51
-15
44
Last Results with these Odds
Comunicaciones - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 41.36%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Deportivo Merlo - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.36%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.