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Current Win Probability
Ituzaingó 24.7%
Draw 30.3%
Sportivo Dock Sud 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
27.9%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.8%
27.2%
45.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Sportivo Dock Sud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Ituzaingó - Sportivo Dock Sud Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barraza L. (G) 5. Desposito P. 8. Fanti J. 6. Mantovani E. (C) 2. Martinez J. 7. Maza J. 10. Mena L. 9. Odunukwe J. 3. Politano A. 11. Santiago N. 4. Sotelo A.
1. Tello T. (G) 11. Alvarez I. 9. Arias A. 3. Barreiro A. 5. Chamorro T. 10. Gomez G. 4. Guerrero N. 6. Meza F. 8. Perrone H. 7. Villalba B. 2. Villarreal S.
Substitutes
12. Almiron A. (G) 17. Barea T. 15. Fernandez J. 20. Gras S. 18. Luppino F. 19. Mariani B. 13. Politano R. 14. Regules I. 16. Salvadores J.
19. Arriola B. 16. Avalos A. 12. Cuenca E. (G) 14. Eichhorn O. 13. Gauna M. 17. Gualtieri G. 20. Nicolaievsky F. 15. Otero F. 18. Perez R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Martinez J. 🟨,
18', Arias A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Alvarez I. ↓, Avalos A. ↑,
59', Guerrero N. ↓, Otero F. ↑,
59', Arias A. ↓, Arriola B. ↑,
62', Maza J. 🟨,
63', Odunukwe J. ↓, Gras S. ↑,
63', Santiago N. ↓, Luppino F. ↑,
76', Villalba B. ↓, Nicolaievsky F. ↑,
76', Perrone H. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
80', Mena L. ↓, Salvadores J. ↑,
85', Sotelo A. ↓, Mariani B. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Gomez G. ⚽,
89', Fanti J. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 2, Arriola B. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 4.
Ituzaingó is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Dock Sud has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ituzaingó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Dock Sud will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Dock Sud
38
11
14
13
40:42
-2
47
22
Ituzaingo
38
1
12
25
25:62
-37
15
Last Results with these Odds
Ituzaingó - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.47%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.