Match Info

J2 League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Iwaki		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	3	Watch
	2.20	3.00	2.95
	2.25	3.05	3	Watch
	2.39	3.35	3.19
	2.35	3.23	3.05	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.95
	2.34	3.24	2.99	Watch
	2.3	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.12)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	3.02 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
40.1%

Draw
29.2%

Albirex Niigata
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Iwaki - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Iwaki will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 6. Iwashita W. 35. Fukaminato S. 22. Takahashi Y. 3. Endo R. 30. Shota K. 10. Nishitani R. 14. Yamaguchi D. 27. Yamanaka A. 11. Kato T. 9. Michiwaki Y.	46. Baumann N. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 77. Funaki K. 3. Kato T. 8. Shirai E. 7. Onishi Y. 30. Okumura J. 6. Kasai K. 17. Shimabuku K. 18. Wakatsuki Y.
Substitutes
13. Fujii K. 28. Hisanaga R. 39. Joo H. (G) 5. Kuwata T. 40. Nagaki R. 7. Nakajima S. 42. Nakayama R. 37. Okaniwa S. 29. Tanaka K.	22. Arai T. 15. Hayakawa F. 14. Konagaya C. 32. Kuwayama K. 70. Maeda R. 55. Moraes M. 38. Mori K. 26. Sato M. 71. Uchiyama S. (G)
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Funakoshi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Michiwaki Y. ⚽, Kato T. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Wakatsuki Y. ⚽,
41', Kasai K. 🟨,
45+1', Fukaminato S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 2 - 1, Takahashi Y. ⚽, Kato T. (A),
55', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Kuwayama K. ⚽,
62', Kasai K. ↓, Moraes M. ↑,
62', Shirai E. ↓, Maeda R. ↑,
62', Endo R. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
64', 2 - 3, Moraes M. ⚽, Shimabuku K. (A),
66', Yamanaka A. 🟨,
73', Shota K. ↓, Okaniwa S. ↑,
73', Fukaminato S. ↓, Kuwata T. ↑,
76', Okumura J. 🟨,
82', Yamaguchi D. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
82', Yamanaka A. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
87', Kato T. 🟨,
89', Shimabuku K. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
89', Okumura J. ↓, Hayakawa F. ↑,

Preview

Iwaki has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iwaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Iwaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Albirex Niigata	9	6	1	2	13:13	0	19
16	Iwaki	9	3	0	6	12:17	-5	9

Last Results with these Odds

Iwaki - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.16%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Albirex Niigata - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.32%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Iwaki - Oita Trinita	2:0 AET ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Oita Trinita - Iwaki	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Fujieda MYFC - Iwaki	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Iwaki - Imabari	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.26	Nagano Parceiro - Iwaki	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW
- Albirex Niigata
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Albirex Niigata - Kagoshima United	0:4 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Albirex Niigata - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Albirex Niigata - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	3:4 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Albirex Niigata - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	Iwaki - Albirex Niigata	0:2

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