The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albirex Niigata 39.6%
Draw 28.1%
Kataller Toyama 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
26.9%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
28%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albirex Niigata's form might have worsened.
Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albirex Niigata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kataller Toyama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Albirex Niigata - Kataller Toyama Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kataller Toyama (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
64. Baumann N. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 2. Geria J. 5. Fitzgerald M. 26. Sato M. 8. Shirai E. 7. Onishi Y. 99. Ono Y. 30. Okumura J. 18. Wakatsuki Y. 17. Shimabuku K.
1. Hirao T. (G) 13. Fukazawa S. 56. Okamoto S. 3. Kagawa Y. 8. Matsuoka D. 14. Tanimoto S. 20. Jung Woo-Young 32. Mizoguchi S. 9. Yoshihira T. 7. Kameda A. 15. Tsuboi K.
Substitutes
22. Arai T. 77. Funaki K. 40. Ishiyama A. 46. Kasai K. 55. Moraes M. 38. Mori K. 13. Ochiai R. 48. Otake Y. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)
18. Ito T. 30. Nakashima Y. 23. Nishiya S. 11. Ogawa K. 19. Saneto Y. 22. Shiina N. 33. Takahashi Y. 21. Terakado R. (G) 25. Yasumitsu S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Tsuboi K. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Tsuboi K. ⚽,
43', 0 - 3, Okamoto S. ⚽, Jung Woo-Young (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Shimabuku K. ↓, Moraes M. ↑,
46', Fitzgerald M. ↓, Funaki K. ↑,
54', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
54', Shirai E. ↓, Arai T. ↑,
58', Matsuoka D. ↓, Nishiya S. ↑,
63', Yoshihira T. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
63', Tsuboi K. ↓, Nakashima Y. ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Moraes M. ⚽,
68', Okumura J. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
75', Onishi Y. ↓, Ochiai R. ↑,
75', Okamoto S. ↓, Saneto Y. ↑,
75', Jung Woo-Young ↓, Shiina N. ↑,
81', 2 - 3, Kasai K. ⚽, Fujiwara S. (A),
90', Ogawa K. 🟨,
90+1', Hirao T. 🟨,
90+5', Moraes M. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ))
In recent matches, Niigata has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kataller Toyama is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Niigata has had a series of away games.
Niigata is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Niigata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
Last Results with these Odds
Kataller Toyama - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.1%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Baumann N. (G) 
Fujiwara S. 
Geria J. 
Shimabuku K. 
Jung Woo-Young 
Moraes M. 
