Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Izarra		Náxara

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.4	7
	1.38	4.75	7
	1.3	5	11.13
	1.28	5	11.13
	1.34	4.69	8.25
	1.37	4.1	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.54)	4.66 ↑ (4.09)	8.75 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izarra
69.5%

Draw
19.9%

Náxara
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

16.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Izarra's performance.

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náxara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (-25.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Izarra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náxara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Izarra - Náxara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Laborda G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Martinez E. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Náxara is Relegated to

Recent matches Izarra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Náxara is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Náxara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Izarra is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Izarra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Izarra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Izarra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.04.24	Tudelano - Izarra	4:0 ✺
14.04.24	Izarra - Calahorra	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Barakaldo - Izarra	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Izarra - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	San Juan - Izarra	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWL
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.04.24	Náxara - Barbastro	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Náxara	4:0 ✺
07.04.24	Náxara - UD Logroñés	0:3 ✺
30.03.24	Brea - Náxara	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Náxara - Gernika	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.12.23	Náxara - Izarra	3:1
13.02.22	Náxara - Izarra	0:0
26.09.21	Izarra - Náxara	2:0

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