The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barakaldo 71.6%
Draw 19.9%
Izarra 8.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.6%
20.7%
9.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.4%
19.9%
9.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Izarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Lopez O. ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, Santiago P. ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 0.
Barakaldo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Izarra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Izarra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Barakaldo is absolute favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Barakaldo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.