Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 27

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadsparksvallen (Jönköping) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	16:00	Ettan Play


	Jönköpings Södra		AFC Malmö

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.20	2.87
	2.06	3.30	3.00
	2.31	3.25	3.23
	2.04	3.65	3.27	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.15
	2.29	3.54	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.1)	3.32 ↓ (3.43)	3.06 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jönköpings Södra
42.2%

Draw
27.8%

AFC Malmö
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.3%

26.5%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jönköpings Södra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Jönköpings Södra - AFC Malmö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson A. (G) 17. Almstrom O. 7. Benatallah F. 18. Drott J. (C) 2. Eek L. 3. Eriksson A. 21. Farnerud C. 11. Kiwarkis A. 10. Kozica D. 13. Lyck H. 9. Lyck L.	1. Brandin O. (G) 22. Alievski E. 36. Bjorkqvist M. 9. Bohman F. 19. Fatahi M. 2. Karim S. 21. Martinsson F. 6. Nouri B. 10. Reuterskiold A. 99. Sener C. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A. (C)
Substitutes
24. Andersson R. 14. Hellstrom C. 4. Karlsson A. 8. Khoshaba A. 27. Sarbring K. 20. Sillamaa R. 30. Svensson S. (G)	25. Eminovic E. (G) 8. Harletun K. 7. Kohler N. 5. Larsen L. 14. Minter Wettergren L. 37. Petrovic P. 17. Podrimcaku A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Kozica D. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Lyck L. ⚽,
44', Bjorkqvist M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Nouri B. ↓, Minter Wettergren L. ↑,
61', Reuterskiold A. ↓, Podrimcaku A. ↑,
61', Alievski E. ↓, Petrovic P. ↑,
71', Lyck L. ↓, Sarbring K. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Bjorkqvist M. ⚽,
80', Benatallah F. ↓, Sillamaa R. ↑,
85', Fatahi M. ↓, Larsen L. ↑,
85', Bjorkqvist M. ↓, Harletun K. ↑,
90+4', Farnerud C. ↓, Karlsson A. ↑,
90+7', Eriksson A. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 5th).

In recent outings, Jönköping has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

AFC Malmö shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

AFC Malmö could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Jönköping holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Jönköping has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:1 (averaging 1:0.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jönköping against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals (averaging 1:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AFC Malmo	28	12	8	8	52:42	10	44
7	Jonkoping	28	11	6	11	35:30	5	39

Last Results with these Odds

Jönköpings Södra - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.29%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Division 1 Södra
10.10.26	Hässleholm - Jönköpings Södra	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Jönköpings Södra - Eskilsminne	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Utsikten - Jönköpings Södra	3:0 ✺
21.09.26	Jönköpings Södra - Skövde AIK	3:2 ✺
16.09.26	Jönköpings Södra - Åtvidaberg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW
- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
10.10.26	AFC Malmö - Skövde AIK	4:2 ✺
02.10.26	Kristianstad - AFC Malmö	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Eskilsminne - AFC Malmö	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	AFC Malmö - Utsikten	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Hässleholm - AFC Malmö	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
27.06.26	AFC Malmö - Jönköpings Södra	1:0
01.11.25	Jönköpings Södra - AFC Malmö	1:0
05.04.25	AFC Malmö - Jönköpings Södra	0:0
10.11.24	AFC Malmö - Jönköpings Södra	0:3
29.06.24	Jönköpings Södra - AFC Malmö	1:0

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