Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 10

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Upesciems pilsētas stadions (Upesciems)


	JDFS Alberts		Ogre United

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.58	4.09	4.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)	3.92 ↑ (3.8)	4.53 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JDFS Alberts
56.8%

Draw
23.2%

Ogre United
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

22%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JDFS Alberts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JDFS Alberts than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

JDFS Alberts - Ogre United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. JDFS Alberts will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. JDFS Alberts (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Malins G. (C) 4. Aditajs R. 14. Andersons K. 5. Indrans D. 39. Kalpaks J. 8. Maksimovs K. 20. Marusii M. 9. Prieditis K. 23. Prohorenkovs M. 21. Stradins D. 17. Zegele M.	1. Perkons E. (G) 19. Jamonts K. 10. Kalnins M. 6. Karklins K. (C) 7. Kumakura K. 4. Mamich D. 3. Marusiy T. 16. Mashchenko V. 9. Silagailis H. 22. Sprukulis K. 27. Veckagans M.
Substitutes
10. Brahmanis M. 22. Guliaks R. 30. Jautaikis K. (G) 25. Meri T. 12. Ozolins R. 11. Pirktins K. 3. Spade M. 37. Zageris D.	88. Abramenko T. 32. Grigorjevs D. (G) 13. Gulbis K. 14. Juhnovics R. 30. Penka R. 21. Salins D. 8. Skujins R. 99. Unuigbeje E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Zegele M. 🟨,
5', 🟨,
7', Jamonts K. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Kalnins M. ⚽,
15', Marusiy T. 🟨,
22', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
37', Indrans D. 🟨,
40', Indrans D. 🟥,
45+1', Andersons K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Zegele M. ↓, Spade M. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Mashchenko V. ⚽,
54', Jamonts K. ↓, Penka R. ↑,
57', 🟨,
67', Prohorenkovs M. ↓, Brahmanis M. ↑,
67', Stradins D. ↓, Ozolins R. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Brahmanis M. ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, Spade M. ⚽,
79', Marusiy T. ↓, Salins D. ↑,
81', Prieditis K. ↓, Pirktins K. ↑,
88', Marusii M. 🟨,
89', Pirktins K. ↓, Zageris D. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga and 4).

JDFS Alberts has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ogre United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ogre United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ogre United has had a series of away games.

In this match, JDFS Alberts is considered a favorite.

We predict that JDFS Alberts will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, JDFS Alberts won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, JDFS Alberts won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JDFS Alberts
Latvian Cup
01.06.25	JDFS Alberts - Smiltene	5:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
25.05.25	JFK Ventspils - JDFS Alberts	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	JDFS Alberts - Olaine	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Leevon PPK - JDFS Alberts	0:4 ✺
02.05.25	JDFS Alberts - Mārupe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWWW
- Ogre United
Latvian Cup
31.05.25	Valmiera - Ogre United	4:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
24.05.25	Rīgas FS 2 - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
18.05.25	Smiltene - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	Augšdaugavas - Ogre United	0:3 ✺
26.04.25	Ogre United - Tukums 2000 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
17.08.24	JDFS Alberts - Ogre United	3:1
20.04.24	Ogre United - JDFS Alberts	0:3

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