Match Info

Latvian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs (Valmiera) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	11:00	SportsEngine Play


	Valmiera		Ogre United

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.60	2.87
	2.05	3.6	2.88
	2.05	3.8	2.92
	2.36	3.13	2.92	Watch
	1.98	3.65	2.85
	2.01	3.74	2.99	Watch
	1.84	3.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.06)	3.64 ↑ (3.59)	2.93 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmiera
44.3%

Draw
24.9%

Ogre United
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.3%

24.8%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

23.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Valmiera - Ogre United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kalnins H. (G) 41. Abe W. 28. Berzins A. 42. Buss R. 25. Dembele M. 17. Freilihs R. 3. Kalnins E. 10. Kayramani F. 15. Krasts R. (C) 11. Lopes G. 2. Yamamura T.	20. Biscuhis K. (G) 14. Aditajs R. 21. Ivulans M. 99. Machado F. 77. Marusii M. 3. Marusiy T. 17. Mashchenko V. (C) 8. Mickevics T. 11. Pacepko M. 28. Sedols D. 6. Vejkrigers D.
Substitutes
4. Erglis M. 8. Stepanovs V. 33. Tkacenko A.	19. Cudars K. 32. Dalbins L. (G) 30. Doroshenko A. 22. Estevez Fernandez L. 18. Evelons E. 10. Kalnins M. 55. Kudelkins A. 37. Lormanis M. 71. Marchuk A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Buss R. ↓, Tkacenko A. ↑,
25', 0 - 1, Mashchenko V. ⚽,
31', Kayramani F. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 1 - 1, Kayramani F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Dembele M. ↓, Stepanovs V. ↑,
69', Machado F. ↓, Kudelkins A. ↑,
69', Sedols D. ↓, Estevez Fernandez L. ↑,
74', Abe W. 🟨,
79', Mashchenko V. ↓, Kalnins M. ↑,
79', Pacepko M. ↓, Marchuk A. ↑,
81', Abe W. ↓, Erglis M. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Stepanovs V. ⚽, Kayramani F. (A),
87', Mickevics T. ↓, Cudars K. ↑,
90+2', Tkacenko A. 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 2, Kalnins E. (Own goal),
Extra Time (0 - 2)
91', Ivulans M. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,
91', Marusiy T. 🟨,
103', 2 - 3, Kalnins M. ⚽, Cudars K. (A),
107', 2 - 4, Estevez Fernandez L. ⚽, Marchuk A. (A),

Preview

Valmiera has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ogre United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Ogre United has had a series of away games.

Valmiera might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Valmiera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Including home match between the teams, Valmiera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmiera FK
Latvian 1 Liga
05.07.26	Valmiera - Leevon PPK	4:1 ✺
28.06.26	JFK Ventspils - Valmiera	0:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
22.06.26	Smiltene - Valmiera	1:4 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Valmiera	1:4 ✺
Latvian Cup
30.05.26	Valmiera - Skanstes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW
- Ogre United
Latvian Virsliga
06.07.26	Super Nova - Ogre United	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Liepāja - Ogre United	4:0 ✺
26.06.26	Ogre United - Tukums 2000	3:2 ✺
22.06.26	RFS - Ogre United	6:0 ✺
17.06.26	Jelgava - Ogre United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Cup
31.05.25	Valmiera - Ogre United	4:3

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