Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mehtimäki - artificial grass (Joensuu) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	16:00	Ruutu+


	JIPPO		Haka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.30	3.40	1.90
	3.10	3.45	1.93	Watch
	3.55	3.97	1.98
	3.15	3.65	2.12	Watch
	3.40	3.90	1.93
	3.58	3.68	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.71)	3.68 ↑ (3.49)	1.97 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JIPPO
27.7%

Draw
25.2%

Haka
47.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

26.8%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

26.8%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JIPPO has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JIPPO's form might have worsened.

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JIPPO than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JIPPO, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

JIPPO - Haka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Piirainen P. (C) 20. Forss L. 24. Haataja N. 28. Honkola E. 41. Kikuchi Y. 18. Kinnunen E. 12. Lehtiranta J. 15. Sahimaa L. 9. Turunen M. 21. Tykkylainen N. 4. Victor de Paula	12. Lepola A. (C) 4. Auvinen E. 25. Enqvist D. 3. Friberg N. 8. Karlsson J. 23. Lehtinen T. 10. Maenpaa A. 13. Mahlamaki M. 21. Nurmi K. 30. Purosalo V. 77. Whyte O.
Substitutes
10. Keturi O. 11. Kiuru J. 2. Mahugo K. 13. Rasanen L. 8. Smith T. 90. Tarvonen A. 22. Vainikainen V. (G) 3. Vesiaho V.	9. Ali Abubakar T. 20. Cisse M. 7. Lahdensuo T. 18. Mattila E. 6. Silas C. 15. Syrjalainen M. 27. Tuikka K. 1. Ziprus J. (G)
Coaches
Hallikainen M.	Ekmark T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Kinnunen E. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Sahimaa L. ⚽,
32', Victor de Paula 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Maenpaa A. ↓, Lahdensuo T. ↑,
46', Lehtinen T. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
63', Honkola E. ↓, Kiuru J. ↑,
63', Kinnunen E. ↓, Keturi O. ↑,
65', Nurmi K. ↓, Mattila E. ↑,
65', Mahlamaki M. ↓, Silas C. ↑,
66', Friberg N. 🟨,
77', Forss L. ↓, Mahugo K. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Enqvist D. ⚽,
83', Sahimaa L. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
90+1', Kikuchi Y. 🟨,
90+1', Syrjalainen M. 🟨,
90+1', Haataja N. 🟨,
90+4', Karlsson J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JIPPO won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Haka is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, JIPPO has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:21 (averaging 0.4:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for JIPPO against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 2:11 goals (averaging 0.5:2.8 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JIPPO
Finnish Ykkosliiga
09.10.26	JäPS - JIPPO	0:4 ✺
26.09.26	JIPPO - PK-35 Vantaa	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - JIPPO	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	JIPPO - Klubi 04	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLWL
- FC Haka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
09.10.26	Haka - PK-35 Vantaa	3:0 ✺
25.09.26	KaPa - Haka	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Haka - Klubi 04	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Ekenäs - Haka	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Haka - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
07.08.26	Haka - JIPPO	3:0
29.05.26	Haka - JIPPO	2:1
Finnish Cup
16.04.24	JIPPO - Haka	0:2
Finnish Ykkonen
28.09.14	JIPPO - Haka	1:1
26.07.14	Haka - JIPPO	5:0
07.06.14	JIPPO - Haka	1:4
Finnish Cup
08.03.14	JIPPO - Haka	0:4

JIPPO - Haka