Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Mehtimäki - artificial grass (Joensuu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	JIPPO		KTP Kotka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.28
	2.98	3.53	2.35
	2.92	3.45	2.32	Watch
	2.8	3.45	2.4
	2.84	3.35	2.23	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.58)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	2.3 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JIPPO
32.5%

Draw
27.4%

KTP Kotka
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.3%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JIPPO has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JIPPO than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

JIPPO - KTP Kotka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Piirainen P. (G) 20. Forss L. 28. Honkola E. 41. Kikuchi Y. 12. Lehtiranta J. 15. Sahimaa L. 8. Smith T. 90. Tarvonen A. 21. Tykkylainen N. 3. Vesiaho V. (C) 4. Victor de Paula	33. Zhuk M. (G) 3. Agyei D. 4. Chibuzor C. 8. Coker M. 18. Eloluoto O. 10. Forsell P. 7. Makela J. (C) 30. Puhakainen L. 22. Rangel 29. Ruohio A. 13. Tahmbi N.
Substitutes
24. Haataja N. 10. Keturi O. 18. Kinnunen E. 11. Kiuru J. 2. Mahugo K. 9. Turunen M. 22. Vainikainen V. (G)	21. Hanninen O. 5. Holtta S. 25. Leikas J. (G) 9. Ogunkoya P. 14. Sunday G. 37. Tanaka A. 20. Tulehmo A.
Coaches
Hallikainen M.	Pasoja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Forsell P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ruohio A. ↓, Sunday G. ↑,
69', Tarvonen A. ↓, Turunen M. ↑,
69', Smith T. ↓, Kiuru J. ↑,
78', Honkola E. ↓, Keturi O. ↑,
78', Forss L. ↓, Haataja N. ↑,
79', Rangel ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Sunday G. ⚽,
84', Tanaka A. 🟨,
87', Forsell P. ↓, Hanninen O. ↑,
87', Haataja N. ↓, Mahugo K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JIPPO won 1.

JIPPO has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KTP is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

KTP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, JIPPO won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, JIPPO won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	KTP ✔	25	18	4	3	45:22	23	58

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JIPPO
Finnish Ykkosliiga
29.08.26	Ekenäs - JIPPO	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	KaPa - JIPPO	1:3 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.08.26	JIPPO - SJK Akatemia	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
07.08.26	Haka - JIPPO	3:0 ✺
30.07.26	JIPPO - JäPS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW
- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
28.08.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.08.26	KTP Kotka - KaPa	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Klubi 04 - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
31.07.26	KTP Kotka - SJK Akatemia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
03.07.26	KTP Kotka - JIPPO	3:3
18.04.26	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	0:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
21.02.26	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	1:2
Finnish Cup
07.05.25	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	1:2 penalties
Finnish Ykkosliiga
31.08.24	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	3:2
12.06.24	KTP Kotka - JIPPO	2:1
20.04.24	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	1:0

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