Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Markku.fi Areena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	KaPa		Haka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.00	4.75	1.36
	5.00	4.00	1.49	Watch
	7.04	5.15	1.39
	6	4.9	1.44	Watch
	6.95	5.05	1.37
	6.37	5.04	1.40	Watch
	6.00	4.60	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.19 ↑ (5.57)	4.78 ↑ (4.46)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KaPa
14.9%

Draw
19.3%

Haka
65.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.4%

20.5%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

19.5%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

KaPa - Haka Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Haka will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Haka (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Haka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Collin T. (G) 4. Hietalahti P. 2. Huhtamaki U. 25. Kuningas M. (C) 28. Lappalainen E. 7. Leinonen N. 10. Lika Y. 22. Ripatti D. 39. Savini S. 11. Sillah S. 26. Toivonen H.	12. Lepola A. (C) 9. Ali Abubakar T. 25. Enqvist D. 3. Friberg N. 10. Maenpaa A. 13. Mahlamaki M. 18. Mattila E. 21. Nurmi K. 30. Purosalo V. 6. Silas C. 77. Whyte O.
Substitutes
35. Brusiin O. (G) 37. Heinonen O. 8. Huhtamaki R. 19. Koivuranta T. 20. Malinen C. 15. Pastinen A. 29. Salmi J.	4. Auvinen E. 20. Cisse M. 8. Karlsson J. 7. Lahdensuo T. 23. Lehtinen T. 24. Sichinava N. 15. Syrjalainen M. 1. Ziprus J. (G)
Coaches
Lummepuro L.	Ekmark T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Friberg N. ↓, Auvinen E. ↑,
15', Kuningas M. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Whyte O. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Whyte O. ⚽, Nurmi K. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 1 - 2, Leinonen N. ⚽,
59', 🟨,
61', Savini S. ↓, Huhtamaki R. ↑,
65', Whyte O. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
73', Nurmi K. ↓, Lahdensuo T. ↑,
73', Ali Abubakar T. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
73', Maenpaa A. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
76', Auvinen E. 🟨,
77', Toivonen H. ↓, Koivuranta T. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Kuningas M. ⚽,
85', 🟨,
90+1', Enqvist D. ↓, Lehtinen T. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 2, Leinonen N. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bookmakers give the edge to Haka for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, KaPa has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for KaPa against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Haka	27	14	5	8	51:31	20	47
9	KaPa	27	6	7	14	33:49	-16	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
19.09.26	SJK Akatemia - KaPa	2:3 ✺
11.09.26	KaPa - PK-35 Vantaa	1:4 ✺
07.09.26	Klubi 04 - KaPa	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	JäPS - KaPa	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	KaPa - JIPPO	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTTL
- FC Haka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
18.09.26	Haka - Klubi 04	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Ekenäs - Haka	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Haka - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Haka - SJK Akatemia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.07.26	Haka - KaPa	3:1
25.04.26	Haka - KaPa	2:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
14.02.26	KaPa - Haka	1:1

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