Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	20:00	Ruutu+
Usa	13:00	SportsEngine Play


	KTP Kotka		KaPa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.23	6.25	8.00
	1.23	5.7	8.4	Watch
	1.3	6.1	8.55
	1.28	6.12	8.21	Watch
	1.22	6.6	9.4
	1.22	5.9	9	Watch
	1.23	5.6	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↑ (1.23)	6.04 ↑ (5.82)	8.51 ↓ (9.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka
73.9%

Draw
15.2%

KaPa
10.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.6%

15.7%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

KaPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

KTP Kotka - KaPa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Zhuk M. (G) 15. Adebayo A. 4. Chibuzor C. 8. Coker M. 10. Forsell P. 2. Huttunen O. 17. Manneh F. 26. Paavola M. 30. Puhakainen L. 22. Rangel 13. Tahmbi N.	35. Lauri D. (G) 9. Almen A. 37. Heinonen O. 8. Huhtamaki R. 2. Huhtamaki U. 25. Kuningas M. (C) 24. Lahteenmaki P. 28. Lappalainen E. 10. Lika Y. 3. Puputti S. 22. Ripatti D.
Substitutes
18. Eloluoto O. 5. Holtta S. 25. Leikas J. (G) 7. Makela J. 29. Ruohio A. 14. Sunday G. 20. Tulehmo A.	7. Leinonen N. 20. Malinen C. 15. Pastinen A. 12. Piekkanen R. (G) 39. Savini S.
Coaches
Pasoja J.	Lummepuro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', Coker M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Rangel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Huhtamaki R. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Heinonen O. ⚽,
66', Huttunen O. ↓, Makela J. ↑,
70', Lahteenmaki P. 🟨,
78', Adebayo A. ↓, Sunday G. ↑,
78', Rangel ↓, Ruohio A. ↑,
82', Ripatti D. ↓, Leinonen N. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Paavola M. ⚽, Forsell P. (A),
89', Huhtamaki R. ↓, Pastinen A. ↑,
90+3', Ruohio A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 5.

KTP is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KaPa is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, KTP is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, KTP won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:11. (average 3.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 3.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkoscup
09.08.26	Klubi 04 - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
31.07.26	KTP Kotka - SJK Akatemia	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KTP Kotka	3:3 ✺
18.07.26	KTP Kotka - PK-35 Vantaa	0:1 ✺
10.07.26	KTP Kotka - JäPS	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTLW
- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
08.08.26	KaPa - Ekenäs	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KaPa	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Haka - KaPa	3:1 ✺
21.07.26	KaPa - Klubi 04	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
05.06.26	KaPa - KTP Kotka	1:2
09.05.26	KTP Kotka - KaPa	2:1
Finnish Ykkoscup
14.03.26	KaPa - KTP Kotka	1:2
Finnish Ykkosliiga
27.09.24	KTP Kotka - KaPa	7:2
27.07.24	KaPa - KTP Kotka	1:5
27.05.24	KTP Kotka - KaPa	2:1
Club Friendly
21.01.23	KaPa - KTP Kotka	4:2

KTP Kotka - KaPa