Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Harjun Stadion (Jyväskylä)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	JJK Jyväskylä		KuPS Akatemia

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.25	6.00
	1.37	5.00	5.25
	1.40	4.70	5.50
	1.43	5.09	5.71
	1.41	5.04	5.54	Watch
	1.38	4.95	5.55
	1.35	5.05	6.20
	1.35	5.00	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)	5.01 ↑ (4.5)	5.67 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JJK Jyväskylä
65.9%

Draw
18.1%

KuPS Akatemia
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

20.1%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

19.6%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JJK Jyväskylä has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

KuPS Akatemia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JJK Jyväskylä than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Akatemia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

JJK Jyväskylä - KuPS Akatemia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. JJK will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). KuPS Akatemia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vetri L. (G) 35. Aaltonen A. 3. Akdogan B. 6. Ciriaco A. 10. Dunyin J. 9. Goljahanpoor A. (C) 52. Heimonen J. 26. Lundell M. 5. Osso S. 8. Pahkala T. 25. Veikko O.	1. Kauppinen K. (G) 26. Baseme A. 14. Hautakangas P. 4. Hukkanen T. 9. Huttunen D. 8. Kivijarvi J. (C) 24. Leivonen A. 23. Mattila N. 21. Oksanen N. 5. Tahkola R. 13. Tuomainen P.
Substitutes
17. Imonioro P. U. 4. Kangasniemi V. 19. Liimatainen N. 23. Maunuksela V. 7. Montonen B. 30. Oikarinen A. (G) 16. Patjas N. 33. Tolra A. 27. Traore B.	30. Kantelinen S. 20. Karkkainen E. 18. Lahtela V. 7. Paasisalo L. 19. Prince Ume K. 17. Tanninen E. 3. Tikkanen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Mattila N. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Goljahanpoor A. ⚽,
13', 1 - 2, Leivonen A. ⚽,
27', 2 - 2, Pahkala T. ⚽,
36', Hukkanen T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 2 - 3, Hautakangas P. ⚽,
52', Aaltonen A. 🟨,
55', 2 - 4, Hautakangas P. ⚽,
61', Goljahanpoor A. 🟨,
61', Veikko O. ↓, Tolra A. ↑,
61', Akdogan B. ↓, Kangasniemi V. ↑,
63', Hautakangas P. ↓, Tanninen E. ↑,
63', Tahkola R. ↓, Lahtela V. ↑,
77', Leivonen A. ↓, Prince Ume K. ↑,
77', Huttunen D. ↓, Karkkainen E. ↑,
79', Lundell M. ↓, Liimatainen N. ↑,
79', Osso S. ↓, Imonioro P. U. ↑,
80', Baseme A. 🟨,
81', 3 - 4, Goljahanpoor A. ⚽,
87', 4 - 4, Goljahanpoor A. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Mattila N. 🟨,
89', Imonioro P. U. 🟨,
90+4', Tanninen E. ↓, Kantelinen S. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JJK won 2.

JJK has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

KuPS Akatemia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

JJK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, JJK is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, JJK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, JJK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	JJK Jyvaskyla	25	8	7	10	55:53	2	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JJK Jyväskylä
Finnish Ykkonen
05.07.26	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - JJK Jyväskylä	1:0 ✺
25.06.26	JJK Jyväskylä - Inter Turku II	11:1 ✺
13.06.26	KPV Kokkola - JJK Jyväskylä	2:3 ✺
06.06.26	JJK Jyväskylä - Keski-Uusimaa	1:3 ✺
02.06.26	JJK Jyväskylä - VJS Vantaa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLT
- KuPS Akatemia
Finnish Ykkonen
04.07.26	KuPS Akatemia - Tampere United	2:3 ✺
28.06.26	OLS - KuPS Akatemia	2:2 ✺
12.06.26	Salon Palloilijat - KuPS Akatemia	4:3 ✺
05.06.26	KuPS Akatemia - KPV Kokkola	4:1 ✺
29.05.26	Keski-Uusimaa - KuPS Akatemia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
10.04.26	KuPS Akatemia - JJK Jyväskylä	1:2
19.09.25	JJK Jyväskylä - KuPS Akatemia	1:2
18.06.25	JJK Jyväskylä - KuPS Akatemia	2:1
Finnish Cup
16.04.25	KuPS Akatemia - JJK Jyväskylä	4:3 penalties
Finnish Ykkonen
11.04.25	KuPS Akatemia - JJK Jyväskylä	2:1
15.09.24	JJK Jyväskylä - KuPS Akatemia	1:0
20.08.24	JJK Jyväskylä - KuPS Akatemia	1:2

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