Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Raatin stadion (Oulu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	OLS		KuPS Akatemia

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.75	6.50
	1.43	4.60	5.00
	1.28	5.50	7.00
	1.33	6.41	6.9
	1.28	5.76	7.62	Watch
	1.3	6.45	6.3
	1.26	5.60	7.85
	1.25	5.6	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)	5.71 ↑ (4.6)	6.75 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OLS
70.4%

Draw
16%

KuPS Akatemia
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

19.6%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

15.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OLS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in OLS's performance.

KuPS Akatemia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OLS than the current prediction. (-21.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with OLS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Akatemia than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KuPS Akatemia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

OLS - KuPS Akatemia Predictions

Users Predictions: OLS will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pentti J. (G) 46. Ajoung M. 76. Arvola I. 4. Ilola L. 20. Jatta K. 32. Kone A. 40. Korhonen J. 19. Omotayo J. 15. Parkkila O. 38. Polvi J. 47. Raittinen E.	29. Silen K. (G) 26. Baseme A. 14. Hautakangas P. 4. Hukkanen T. 9. Huttunen D. 8. Kivijarvi J. (C) 18. Lahtela V. 21. Oksanen N. 7. Paasisalo L. 3. Tikkanen R. 13. Tuomainen P.
Substitutes
57. Fyrsten M. (G) 86. Korkala A. 51. Lamsa O. 45. Merikanto E. 37. Piirto L. 49. Ridanpaa T. 80. Taumberger H. 83. Teppo L. 75. Viinikka O.	12. Aimola J. (G) 6. Balde O. 20. Karkkainen E. 24. Leivonen A. 23. Mattila N. 19. Prince Ume K. 5. Tahkola R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Jatta K. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Oksanen N. ⚽,
16', 2 - 1, Ajoung M. ⚽,
18', Omotayo J. 🟨,
42', Arvola I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Tikkanen R. ↓, Mattila N. ↑,
57', Lahtela V. ↓, Balde O. ↑,
61', Kone A. ↓, Lamsa O. ↑,
68', Huttunen D. ↓, Leivonen A. ↑,
68', Hautakangas P. ↓, Prince Ume K. ↑,
71', Balde O. 🟨,
74', Jatta K. ↓, Merikanto E. ↑,
74', Omotayo J. ↓, Teppo L. ↑,
74', Polvi J. ↓, Korkala A. ↑,
82', Tuomainen P. ↓, Karkkainen E. ↑,
87', Mattila N. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Mattila N. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OLS won 5.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, OLS is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, OLS won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:11. (average 3.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, OLS won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 4.3:1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	OLS Oulu	25	11	8	6	50:37	13	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OLS Oulu
Finnish Ykkonen
11.06.26	Tampere United - OLS	3:0 ✺
06.06.26	OLS - Salon Palloilijat	5:0 ✺
02.06.26	RoPS - OLS	1:1 ✺
28.05.26	JJK Jyväskylä - OLS	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	OLS - Jazz Pori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTLL
- KuPS Akatemia
Finnish Ykkonen
12.06.26	Salon Palloilijat - KuPS Akatemia	4:3 ✺
05.06.26	KuPS Akatemia - KPV Kokkola	4:1 ✺
29.05.26	Keski-Uusimaa - KuPS Akatemia	3:0 ✺
24.05.26	KuPS Akatemia - RoPS	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Inter Turku II - KuPS Akatemia	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
05.04.26	KuPS Akatemia - OLS	2:4
13.09.25	OLS - KuPS Akatemia	4:2
06.08.25	OLS - KuPS Akatemia	5:0
24.05.25	KuPS Akatemia - OLS	1:3
05.08.24	OLS - KuPS Akatemia	3:2
23.05.24	KuPS Akatemia - OLS	1:3
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
28.08.23	KuPS Akatemia - OLS	3:0

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