Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday

Location: Salon urheilupuisto (Salo)


	Salon Palloilijat		KuPS Akatemia

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	5.25
	1.46	4.50	4.80
	1.45	4.55	5.15
	1.48	4.93	5.37
	1.47	4.7	5.12	Watch
	1.44	4.4	5
	1.43	4.6	5.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)	4.6 ↓ (4.9)	5.17 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salon Palloilijat
62.6%

Draw
19.8%

KuPS Akatemia
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

17.8%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salon Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

KuPS Akatemia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salon Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Akatemia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Salon Palloilijat - KuPS Akatemia Predictions

Users Predictions: Salon Palloilijat will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Munukka A. (G) 4. Dementjeff T. 20. Jakonen O. 22. Kadowaki S. 9. Lulli M. 3. Meura J. (C) 24. Miyazaki Y. 18. Poysa S. 7. Rrustemi E. 28. Seidu S. 10. Voca G.	1. Silen K. (G) 6. Balde O. 26. Baseme A. 14. Hautakangas P. 4. Hukkanen T. 9. Huttunen D. 8. Kivijarvi J. (C) 7. Paasisalo L. 19. Prince Ume K. 3. Tikkanen R. 13. Tuomainen P.
Substitutes
15. Heikkila J. 13. Kostian J. 17. Mohammadi M. 5. Pan L. 14. Ranta A. 12. Rintamaki O. (G) 11. Rrustemi E. 23. Ruponen R.	12. Aimola J. (G) 25. Haarma K. 30. Kantelinen S. 20. Karkkainen E. 24. Leivonen A. 23. Mattila N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Voca G. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Jakonen O. ⚽,
27', Balde O. 🟨,
29', 2 - 1, Paasisalo L. ⚽,
36', Meura J. 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 1, Lulli M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 3 - 2, Baseme A. ⚽,
51', 3 - 3, Huttunen D. ⚽,
56', Hukkanen T. 🟨,
68', Huttunen D. ↓, Leivonen A. ↑,
74', Lulli M. ↓, Kostian J. ↑,
75', Paasisalo L. ↓, Karkkainen E. ↑,
80', 4 - 3, Meura J. ⚽,
81', Miyazaki Y. ↓, Rrustemi E. ↑,
86', Tikkanen R. ↓, Kantelinen S. ↑,
86', Prince Ume K. ↓, Haarma K. ↑,
89', Kostian J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

SalPa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KuPS Akatemia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

KuPS Akatemia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, SalPa is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	SalPa	25	12	6	7	52:45	7	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salon Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
06.06.26	OLS - Salon Palloilijat	5:0 ✺
28.05.26	Jazz Pori - Salon Palloilijat	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Salon Palloilijat - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	4:2 ✺
16.05.26	JJK Jyväskylä - Salon Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Salon Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWTW
- KuPS Akatemia
Finnish Ykkonen
05.06.26	KuPS Akatemia - KPV Kokkola	4:1 ✺
29.05.26	Keski-Uusimaa - KuPS Akatemia	3:0 ✺
24.05.26	KuPS Akatemia - RoPS	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Inter Turku II - KuPS Akatemia	4:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	KuPS Akatemia - Honka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

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