Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: 1. LIGA - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 3

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Strelnice (Jablonec nad Nisou)

Referee: Radina M. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	iSport.cz


	Jablonec		Zbrojovka Brno

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5	Watch
	1.6	4.2	4.8
	1.6	4.1	4.6
	1.62	4.43	5.12
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.61	4.25	5	Watch
	1.61	4.15	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.15)	4.1 ↑ (3.2)	4.87 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jablonec
57.8%

Draw
22.9%

Zbrojovka Brno
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jablonec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jablonec's performance.

Zbrojovka Brno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zbrojovka Brno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jablonec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zbrojovka Brno than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zbrojovka Brno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jablonec - Zbrojovka Brno Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jablonec will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Zbrojovka Brno will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jablonec won 4.

Jablonec is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Zbrojovka Brno has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Jablonec is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Jablonec won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Jablonec won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga
14.05.23	Jablonec - Baník Ostrava	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Zlín - Jablonec	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Bohemians 1905 - Jablonec	4:1 ✺
26.04.23	Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc	2:2 ✺
23.04.23	Dynamo České Budějovice - Jablonec	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLTL
- Zbrojovka Brno
Czech 1 Liga
14.05.23	Zbrojovka Brno - Pardubice	0:2 ✺
06.05.23	Baník Ostrava - Zbrojovka Brno	4:0 ✺
30.04.23	Slovácko - Zbrojovka Brno	1:0 ✺
26.04.23	Zbrojovka Brno - Dynamo České Budějovice	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Slovan Liberec - Zbrojovka Brno	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
19.03.23	Zbrojovka Brno - Jablonec	1:2
02.10.22	Jablonec - Zbrojovka Brno	3:1
14.03.21	Zbrojovka Brno - Jablonec	1:2
06.11.20	Jablonec - Zbrojovka Brno	0:1
Czech Cup
01.10.19	Jablonec - Zbrojovka Brno	3:2
Czech 1 Liga
05.05.18	Zbrojovka Brno - Jablonec	0:3
05.11.17	Jablonec - Zbrojovka Brno	1:0

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