Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 1

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Strelnice (Jablonec nad Nisou)

Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Jablonec		Sigma Olomouc

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.25	2.70
	2.50	3.30	2.70
	2.28	3.25	2.95	Watch
	2.65	3.40	2.81
	2.46	3.34	2.79	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.75
	2.56	3.33	2.77	Watch
	2.49	3.25	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.1)	3.3 (3.3)	2.77 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jablonec
37.6%

Draw
28.5%

Sigma Olomouc
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

29%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jablonec's form might have worsened.

Sigma Olomouc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sigma Olomouc's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jablonec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sigma Olomouc, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Jablonec will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sigma will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Mihelak K. (G) 18. Cedidla M. 4. Tekijaski N. (C) 15. Pavlovic D. 7. Chanturishvili V. 13. Sedlacek R. 25. Nebyla S. 20. Slama J. 10. Suchan J. 44. Jawo L. 21. Polidar M.	91. Koutny J. (G) 2. Sylla A. 21. Kral J. (C) 3. Lurvink L. 8. Spacil J. 88. Barath P. 7. Beran M. 70. Ghali A. 23. Krivak F. 10. Sejk V. 14. Soldo M.
Substitutes
16. Ahl H. 19. Chramosta J. 1. Hanus J. (G) 22. Horak R. 42. Malensek M. 57. Novak F. 6. Okeke N. 23. Sobol E. 14. Soucek D. 27. Vecheta F. 8. Zorvan F.	18. Fiala J. 20. Grgic D. 98. Hruska M. (G) 39. Janosek D. 33. Maly M. 11. Mikaelsson H. 25. Mikulenka M. 26. Noumbissie S. 6. Sip J. 24. Tkac D.
Coaches
Kozel L.	Hapal P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Lurvink L. ⚽, Krivak F. (A),
15', Sejk V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Cedidla M. ⚽, Sedlacek R. (A),
60', Krivak F. ↓, Janosek D. ↑,
60', Soldo M. ↓, Tkac D. ↑,
65', Spacil J. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Suchan J. ⚽, Nebyla S. (A),
70', Jawo L. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
70', Suchan J. ↓, Zorvan F. ↑,
70', Sedlacek R. ↓, Okeke N. ↑,
72', Slama J. 🟨,
80', Chanturishvili V. ↓, Ahl H. ↑,
83', Ghali A. ↓, Mikulenka M. ↑,
84', Beran M. ↓, Fiala J. ↑,
84', Pavlovic D. ↓, Novak F. ↑,
88', Sip J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 1.

Jablonec has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sigma is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sigma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sigma has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Jablonec: Milla K. (Injury)

There will not play in Sigma: Elbel J. (Injury) Huk T. (Health problems) Urica F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Jablonec: Novak F. (Inactive) Polidar M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sigma: Dembe J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jablonec won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).

Outrights of Czech 1 Liga for now

Sigma Olomouc: 1.23% Jablonec: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jablonec	10	5	2	3	12:9	3	17
5	Sigma Olomouc	9	5	1	3	16:13	3	16

Last Results with these Odds

Jablonec - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jablonec
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Varaždin - Jablonec	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Jablonec - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Jablonec - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Liefering - Jablonec	3:1 ✺
08.07.26	Jablonec - Paphos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLT
- Sigma Olomouc
Club Friendly
13.07.26	Sigma Olomouc - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Sigma Olomouc - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	5:1 ✺
04.07.26	Sigma Olomouc - Dukla Banská Bystrica	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Sigma Olomouc - Skalica	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Sigma Olomouc - Ružomberok	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
07.03.26	Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc	1:2
05.10.25	Sigma Olomouc - Jablonec	2:0
10.05.25	Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc	4:0
29.03.25	Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc	0:0
26.10.24	Sigma Olomouc - Jablonec	0:0
14.04.24	Sigma Olomouc - Jablonec	1:0
04.11.23	Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc	1:1

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