The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jacuipense 26.4%
Draw 33.4%
Ferroviário Fortaleza 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
30.3%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.1%
22%
52.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jacuipense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacuipense's form might have worsened.
Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviário Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jacuipense - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).
Jacuipense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Ferroviário is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Jacuipense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Ferroviário will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Jacuipense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Jacuipense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.