Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 8

Date: 9 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)


	Botafogo PB		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.4	5.75
	1.55	3.5	6	Watch
	1.55	3.55	7.47
	1.55	3.5	7.47
	1.44	3.6	6
	1.5	3.68	6.32	Watch
	1.55	3.45	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)	3.53 ↑ (3.2)	6.46 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
59.9%

Draw
25.9%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

28.6%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

27.7%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo PB's performance.

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Botafogo PB - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Botafogo PB will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ferroviário will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (G) 10. Bruno Leite 8. Edmundo 32. Evandro 15. Gama 2. Lenon 9. Pipico (C) 14. Renie 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar 7. Will	1. Douglas Dias (G) 3. Alisson 99. Ciel (C) 6. Ernandes 5. Lincoln 7. Marcelinho 16. Renan Luis 10. Romarinho 22. Vinicius Alves 2. Wesley 26. Willian Rocha
Substitutes
12. Caio (G) 3. Douglas 22. Erick 17. Gabriel Lima 25. Gustavo Poffo 29. Jo 19. Joaozinho 33. Lucas Balardin 5. Lucas Goncalves 27. Paulinho 23. Pedro Ivo 6. Rafael Furlan	18. Caio Rangel 32. Geaze (G) 14. Igor Dutra 8. Marciel 4. Naldo 15. Ralph 28. Vinicius Paulista 21. Vitinho 17. Wilker
Coaches
Evaristo Piza	Kobayashi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Alisson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Romarinho ↓, Marciel ↑,
52', Thallyson ↓, Jo ↑,
64', Bruno Leite ↓, Gustavo Poffo ↑,
65', Will ↓, Joaozinho ↑,
73', Ciel ↓, Vitinho ↑,
78', Igor Dutra 🟨,
82', Alisson 🟨,
84', Vinicius Alves ↓, Vinicius Paulista ↑,
84', Ernandes ↓, Naldo ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Joaozinho ⚽,
89', Edmundo ↓, Lucas Goncalves ↑,
89', Pipico ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', Igor Dutra 🟥,
90+3', Gustavo Poffo 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 1.

Botafogo PB in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ferroviário is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo PB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Botafogo PB is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Botafogo PB to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo PB won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
03.06.24	Botafogo PB - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
25.05.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Volta Redonda - Botafogo PB	1:3 ✺
05.05.24	Botafogo PB - Remo	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Botafogo PB - Caxias	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWT
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie C
01.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Londrina	1:0 ✺
28.05.24	Floresta - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
19.05.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - ABC	0:4 ✺
06.05.24	São Bernardo - Ferroviário Fortaleza	5:0 ✺
29.04.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Aparecidense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
01.05.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Botafogo PB	1:0
31.07.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Botafogo PB	0:0
29.05.21	Botafogo PB - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:0
10.10.20	Botafogo PB - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1
09.08.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Botafogo PB	2:0
30.06.19	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Botafogo PB	0:0
28.04.19	Botafogo PB - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1

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