Match Info

2. SNL - Round 22

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Jadran Dekani		Aluminij Kidricevo

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.78
	4.2	3.7	1.7
	4.64	3.82	1.7	Watch
	4.82	3.7	1.61
	4.2	3.7	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.38)	3.7 ↑ (3.11)	1.7 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jadran Dekani
21.4%

Draw
24.7%

Aluminij Kidricevo
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

29.4%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

28%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jadran Dekani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jadran Dekani's form might have worsened.

Aluminij Kidricevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aluminij Kidricevo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Dekani than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jadran Dekani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aluminij Kidricevo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jadran Dekani - Aluminij Kidricevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Jagic T. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Susso B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 2, Zonta T. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 2).

Jadran Dekani is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aluminij is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jadran Dekani could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aluminij will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Jadran Dekani won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:14 (average 0.5:3.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Jadran Dekani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:9 (average 0:4.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jadran Dekani
Slovenian 2 SNL
29.03.25	Dravinja - Jadran Dekani	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Jadran Dekani	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Jadran Dekani - Tolmin	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Krka - Jadran Dekani	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Jadran Dekani - Bilje	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLLL
- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian 2 SNL
28.03.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Tolmin	5:0 ✺
22.03.25	Krka - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Bilje	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	Tabor Sežana - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:2 ✺
Slovenian Cup
04.03.25	Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
21.09.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Jadran Dekani	1:1
21.04.23	Jadran Dekani - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:2
07.10.22	Aluminij Kidricevo - Jadran Dekani	4:1
Slovenian Cup
19.09.17	Jadran Dekani - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:7

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