Match Info

2. SNL - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Jadran Dekani		Nafta

	1	X	2
	5.7	4.25	1.42
	5.46	4.18	1.46
	6.48	4.33	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.88 ↑ (5.17)	4.25 ↑ (4.08)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jadran Dekani
15.4%

Draw
21.3%

Nafta
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

22.4%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

22.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jadran Dekani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Dekani than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Jadran Dekani - Nafta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jadran Dekani won 1.

Jadran Dekani is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nafta is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Nafta is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Jadran Dekani won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:31. (average 0.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jadran Dekani won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jadran Dekani
Slovenian 2 SNL
21.09.25	Bistrica - Jadran Dekani	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Jadran Dekani - Tabor Sežana	0:3 ✺
06.09.25	Jadran Dekani - Ilirija Ljubljana	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Jesenice - Jadran Dekani	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Jadran Dekani - Krško	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWTL
- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian 2 SNL
20.09.25	Nafta - Jesenice	5:1 ✺
13.09.25	Krško - Nafta	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Nafta - Gorica	1:0 ✺
01.09.25	Dravinja - Nafta	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Nafta - Krka	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
11.05.24	Jadran Dekani - Nafta	2:0
21.10.23	Nafta - Jadran Dekani	1:0
04.05.23	Jadran Dekani - Nafta	1:3
22.10.22	Nafta - Jadran Dekani	1:1
20.05.22	Nafta - Jadran Dekani	6:0
07.11.21	Jadran Dekani - Nafta	1:1
03.10.20	Nafta - Jadran Dekani	8:0

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