Match Info

2. SNL - Round 14

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Jadran Dekani		Rudar Velenje

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.2	2.28	Watch
	2.84	3.31	2.22
	2.72	3.34	2.44	Watch
	2.83	3.2	2.3
	2.8	3.1	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.86)	3.23 ↑ (3.13)	2.29 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jadran Dekani
32.4%

Draw
28%

Rudar Velenje
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.3%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jadran Dekani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Rudar Velenje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jadran Dekani than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rudar Velenje than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Jadran Dekani - Rudar Velenje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jadran Dekani won 2.

Recent form of Jadran Dekani has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rudar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jadran Dekani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jadran Dekani won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Jadran Dekani won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jadran Dekani
Slovenian 2 SNL
30.10.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Jadran Dekani	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Jadran Dekani - Triglav	3:4 ✺
17.10.25	Brinje-Grosuplje - Jadran Dekani	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Jadran Dekani - Beltinci	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bilje - Jadran Dekani	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTLT
- Rudar Velenje
Slovenian 2 SNL
04.11.25	Krško - Rudar Velenje	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Rudar Velenje - Jesenice	1:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
21.10.25	Ljutomer - Rudar Velenje	0:3 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
18.10.25	Rudar Velenje - Gorica	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Dravinja - Rudar Velenje	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
08.05.25	Rudar Velenje - Jadran Dekani	0:0
25.10.24	Jadran Dekani - Rudar Velenje	2:0
14.10.23	Jadran Dekani - Rudar Velenje	4:1
26.11.22	Rudar Velenje - Jadran Dekani	0:0
14.08.22	Jadran Dekani - Rudar Velenje	1:1
05.03.22	Rudar Velenje - Jadran Dekani	2:1
21.08.21	Jadran Dekani - Rudar Velenje	0:1

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