Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		Mławianka Mława

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	3.50
	1.5	4.15	4.7
	1.47	4.29	5.03
	1.51	4.38	4.92	Watch
	1.45	4.2	4.95
	1.7	4.22	3.91	Watch
	1.66	3.81	3.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)	4.11 ↑ (3.78)	4.4 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
57.4%

Draw
22%

Mławianka Mława
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Rojkowski T. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Rallis D. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Rojkowski T. ⚽,
45+9', 2 - 2, Zalewski Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 2)
50', 3 - 2, Pawelczyk O. ⚽, Zalewski Z. (A),
50', 3 - 3, Strugala H. ⚽,
56', 4 - 3, Ziarek A. ⚽, Duchnowski A. (A),
63', 5 - 3, Pawelczyk O. ⚽, Rallis D. (A),
68', 6 - 3, Polkowski D. ⚽,
78', 7 - 3, Ziarek A. ⚽,
89', 7 - 4, Rojkowski T. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 4.

Jagiellonia II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mławianka is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Jagiellonia II is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia II won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Jagiellonia II	10	4	3	3	22:20	2	15
15	Mlawa	11	3	1	7	22:32	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.09.26	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Weszło - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:0 ✺
19.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pelikan Łowicz	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLWT
- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.09.26	Mławianka Mława - ŁKS Łódź II	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Wisła Płock II - Mławianka Mława	5:3 ✺
22.08.26	ŁKS Łomża - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Mławianka Mława - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
14.08.26	Weszło - Mławianka Mława	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1
25.10.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	3:2
02.05.25	Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3
05.10.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	2:2
09.03.24	Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1
19.08.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	3:0
11.06.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	3:3

Upcoming Matches