Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna (Tuxtla Gutiérrez)


	Jaguares de Chiapas		Pioneros de Cancún

	1	X	2
	2.17	3.16	3.05
	2.06	3.48	3.38	Watch
	2.74	3.55	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.74)	3.4 ↓ (3.55)	2.88 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Chiapas
40.2%

Draw
27.5%

Pioneros de Cancún
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

25.7%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Chiapas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaguares de Chiapas's performance.

Pioneros de Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pioneros de Cancún might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Jaguares de Chiapas - Pioneros de Cancún Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Pioneros de Cancún may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chiapas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Chiapas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Chiapas
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.09.25	Montañeses - Jaguares de Chiapas	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Inter Playa Del Carmen	0:1 ✺
22.08.25	Héroes de Zaci - Jaguares de Chiapas	1:0
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Atlante	2:2 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
05.04.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Halcones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTL
- Pioneros de Cancún
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
14.09.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Montañeses	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Pioneros de Cancún	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Pioneros de Cancún	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Zacatepec Siglo	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Canamy - Pioneros de Cancún	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.02.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:2
16.10.24	Jaguares de Chiapas - Pioneros de Cancún	1:1

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