Match Info

3. Liga - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 7
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 7
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Usa	ESPN 3
World	Onefootball


	Jahn Regensburg		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	3.2	3.55	2.05
	3.42	3.7	2.14
	3.23	3.60	2.05	Watch
	3.21	3.56	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.7)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	2.06 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
28.9%

Draw
26%

Rot-Weiß Essen
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

26%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

26.4%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Jahn Regensburg - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Regensburg will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Regensburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Regensburg (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Regensburg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gebhardt F. (G) 37. Wurm L. 4. Strauss F. (C) 14. Ziegele R. 8. Geipl A. 29. Fein A. 26. Bauer B. 22. Stolze S. 27. Hermes L. 11. Eichinger N. 13. Dietz F.	1. Golz J. (G) 2. Kostka M. 23. Rios Alonso J. 4. Schultz M. (C) 14. Brumme L. 8. Gjasula K. 28. Moustier T. 10. Obuz M. 6. Arslan A. 24. Mizuta K. 29. Mause J.
Substitutes
19. Asante D. 10. Beckhoff P. 18. Forkel D. 9. Galjen D. 31. Matzler L. 5. Muller P. 25. Oliveira N. 33. Seidel N. 32. Weidinger A. (G)	32. Bazzoli L. 19. Bouebari F. 9. Cuber Potocnik J. 37. Hofmann J. 18. Kaiser N. 33. Kraulich T. 30. Owusu K. 7. Safi R. 35. Wienand F. (G)
Coaches
Wimmer M.	Koschinat U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Moustier T. ⚽, Brumme L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', Dietz F. ↓, Forkel D. ↑,
69', Mause J. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
69', Hermes L. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
69', Stolze S. ↓, Galjen D. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Eichinger N. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Mizuta K. ⚽, Safi R. (A),
78', Strauss F. 🟨,
83', Mizuta K. ↓, Owusu K. ↑,
83', Kostka M. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
83', Eichinger N. ↓, Beckhoff P. ↑,
83', Geipl A. ↓, Matzler L. ↑,
89', Obuz M. ↓, Bazzoli L. ↑,
89', Arslan A. ↓, Kaiser N. ↑,
90+4', Hofmann J. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 3, Owusu K. ⚽,

Preview

Regensburg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rot-Weiß Essen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rot-Weiß Essen might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Regensburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 3 Bundesliga
29.08.25	Viktoria Köln - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Jahn Regensburg - Schweinfurt	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Jahn Regensburg - Köln	1:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg	0:4 ✺
02.08.25	Ingolstadt - Jahn Regensburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLT
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
31.08.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Alemannia Aachen	2:3 ✺
22.08.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
09.08.25	TSV Havelse - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
10.02.24	Jahn Regensburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:3
16.09.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Jahn Regensburg	0:0

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