Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rot-Weiß Essen		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	19	9	1.11	Watch
	13	7	1.21
	14.5	6.9	1.17	Watch
	17.63	9.91	1.11
	10.65	4.87	1.29	Watch
	12	5.8	1.22
	13.5	7.1	1.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.33 ↑ (10.65)	7.23 ↑ (4.87)	1.19 ↓ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
6.6%

Draw
13.2%

Borussia Dortmund
80.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.7%

19.1%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borussia Dortmund's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

Rot Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (G) 23. Rios Alonso J. 4. Schultz M. (C) 33. Kraulich T. 37. Hofmann J. 6. Arslan A. 8. Gjasula K. 14. Brumme L. 28. Moustier T. 7. Safi R. 24. Mizuta K.	1. Kobel G. (C) 39. Mane F. 3. Anton W. 5. Bensebaini R. 2. Couto Y. 20. Sabitzer M. 24. Svensson D. 13. Gross P. 8. Nmecha F. 9. Guirassy S. 14. Beier M.
Substitutes
32. Bazzoli L. 19. Bouebari F. 18. Kaiser N. 11. Martinovic D. 26. Musel T. 10. Obuz M. 30. Owusu K. 39. Swajkowski G. 35. Wienand F. (G)	27. Adeyemi K. 7. Bellingham J. 10. Brandt J. 37. Campbell C. 42. Kabar A. 49. Luhrs Y. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 21. Reyna G.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Gross P. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
64', Beier M. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
75', Arslan A. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
75', Brumme L. ↓, Kaiser N. ↑,
76', Svensson D. 🟨,
79', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽, Bensebaini R. (A),
83', Safi R. ↓, Martinovic D. ↑,
83', Rios Alonso J. ↓, Musel T. ↑,
87', Gjasula K. ↓, Owusu K. ↑,
90+3', Sabitzer M. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
90+5', Owusu K. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Borussia D is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
09.08.25	TSV Havelse - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Magdeburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:5 ✺
12.07.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Fortuna Köln	5:0 ✺
09.07.25	Hibernian - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTWWL
- Borussia Dortmund
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Juventus	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Lille	3:2 ✺
30.07.25	Siegen - Borussia Dortmund	1:8 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
05.07.25	Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund	3:2 ✺
01.07.25	Borussia Dortmund - Monterrey	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.07.17	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund	3:2
27.07.14	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund	1:5

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