Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - CLAUSURA - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tamaulipas (Tampico-Ciudad Madero)


	Jaiba Brava		Gavilanes de Matamoros

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	4.75
	1.65	3.6	4.65
	1.68	3.63	4.67
	1.57	3.98	5.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.88)	3.73 ↑ (3.53)	4.78 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaiba Brava
56.4%

Draw
24.5%

Gavilanes de Matamoros
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

25.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

25%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaiba Brava's performance.

Gavilanes de Matamoros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gavilanes de Matamoros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaiba Brava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gavilanes de Matamoros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jaiba Brava - Gavilanes de Matamoros Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Tampico Madero is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gavilanes de Matamoros is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tampico Madero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tampico Madero is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tampico Madero to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tampico Madero won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Tampico Madero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.03.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	La Piedad - Jaiba Brava	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Jaiba Brava - Catedráticos Elite	4:1 ✺
25.02.23	Saltillo - Jaiba Brava	1:2 ✺
20.02.23	Jaiba Brava - Tulancingo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWWW
- Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.03.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Saltillo	4:1 ✺
12.03.23	Tulancingo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	7:1 ✺
25.02.23	Colima - Gavilanes de Matamoros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.03.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Jaiba Brava	0:0
10.09.22	Jaiba Brava - Gavilanes de Matamoros	2:0

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